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Tartu JK Welco vs Maardu Linnameeskond - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Holm Jalgpallipark, Tartu
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tartu JK Welco host Maardu Linnameeskond in the Esiliiga. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Tartu JK Welco at 2.97 goals for, 1.24 against; Maardu Linnameeskond at 1.43 for, 1.57 against. Head-to-head, Tartu JK Welco have won 3 to Maardu Linnameeskond's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Nov 8, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.06, favoring Tartu JK Welco. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Tartu JK Welco
20%
Draws
0%
Maardu Linnameeskond
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tartu JK Welco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Tartu JK Welco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Tartu JK Welco taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Tartu JK Welco Clean Sheet 20%
Maardu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tartu JK Welco Maardu Linnameeskond
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.97 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2026 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Maardu Linnameeskond
0:0
Jul 13, 2026 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Tartu JK Welco
1:8
May 24, 2026 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Tartu JK Welco
0:1
Mar 21, 2026 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Maardu Linnameeskond
5:1
Oct 2, 2021 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Maardu Linnameeskond
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tartu JK Welco 85 / 100
Maardu Linnameeskond 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tartu JK Welco Maardu Linnameeskond

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tartu JK Welco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tartu JK Welco scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Maardu Linnameeskond has conceded goals in 88% of their last 25 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Tartu JK Welco stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tartu JK Welco VS Maardu Linnameeskond
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tartu JK Welco

(Home)
09 Oct
Tartu JK Welco
4 : 0
Elva
17 Sept
Viimsi JK
0 : 2
Tartu JK Welco
14 Sept
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 0
Kalju U21
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0
Tartu JK Welco
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1
Tartu JK Welco
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Maardu Linnameeskond

(Away)
19 Oct
Maardu Linnameeskond
:
Flora Tallinn U21
15 Oct
Viimsi JK
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
11 Oct
Maardu Linnameeskond
:
Kalju U21
19 Sept
Levadia U21
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
13 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
:
Tallinna Kalev
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 32 21 5 6 85:39 68
2 Viimsi JK 32 17 5 10 58:32 56
3 Flora Tallinn U21 32 15 6 11 73:55 51
4 Elva 32 15 6 11 47:48 51
5 Levadia U21 32 16 2 14 62:55 50
6 Tallinna Kalev 31 11 7 13 53:57 40
7 Nomme Utd U21 32 11 6 15 50:63 39
8 FC Tallinn 31 9 8 14 41:64 35
9 Kalju U21 32 7 4 21 38:80 25
10 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 12 5 19 45:59 41
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)