Sport Picks
Tartu JK Welco vs Tallinna Kalev - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Esiliiga Holm Jalgpallipark, Tartu 
AI Match Summary
Tartu JK Welco host Tallinna Kalev in the Esiliiga. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Tallinna Kalev have shipped 1.77 goals a game lately, while Tartu JK Welco have conceded 1.24 and scored 2.97. Past meetings favor Tallinna Kalev slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (2.00 - 1.06) back Tartu JK Welco to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Tartu JK Welco lately — more wins on the board than Tallinna Kalev.
- Tartu JK Welco are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tartu JK Welco | Tallinna Kalev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.97 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tartu JK Welco scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Tartu JK Welco remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Tallinna Kalev conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Tartu JK Welco
(Home)Tallinna Kalev
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu JK Welco | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 85:39 | 68 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 32 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 58:32 | 56 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn U21 | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 73:55 | 51 |
| 4 | Elva | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 47:48 | 51 |
| 5 | Levadia U21 | 32 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 62:55 | 50 |
| 6 | Tallinna Kalev | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 53:57 | 40 |
| 7 | Nomme Utd U21 | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 50:63 | 39 |
| 8 | FC Tallinn | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 41:64 | 35 |
| 9 | Kalju U21 | 32 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 38:80 | 25 |
| 10 | Maardu Linnameeskond | 36 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 45:59 | 41 |
