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Tartu JK Welco vs Tulevik Viljandi II

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tartu JK Welco play Tulevik Viljandi II in the Esiliiga B 2016. Tartu JK Welco are favorites here. Recently, Tartu JK Welco averaged 2.64 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Tulevik Viljandi II averaged 0.77 goals scored and 4.23 conceded. In past meetings, Tartu JK Welco won 4, Tulevik Viljandi II won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 16, 2016 ended 7:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.23 for Tartu JK Welco and 1.13 for Tulevik Viljandi II. This points to a Tartu JK Welco double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

75%
Tartu JK Welco
15%
Draws
10%
Tulevik Viljandi II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tartu JK Welco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tartu JK Welco picked up more points recently compared to Tulevik Viljandi II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.23 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 52%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Tartu JK Welco Clean Sheet 21%
Tulevik Viljandi II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tartu JK Welco Tulevik Viljandi II
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 22 2
Draws 6 1
Losses 8 27
Goals Scored 2.64 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.5 4.23

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2016 Esiliiga B
Tartu JK Welco vs Tulevik Viljandi II
7:0
Aug 6, 2016 Esiliiga B
Tulevik Viljandi II vs Tartu JK Welco
1:2
May 14, 2016 Esiliiga B
Tartu JK Welco vs Tulevik Viljandi II
2:1
Apr 9, 2016 Esiliiga B
Tulevik Viljandi II vs Tartu JK Welco
1:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tartu JK Welco 72 / 100
Tulevik Viljandi II 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tartu JK Welco Tulevik Viljandi II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tartu JK Welco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Tartu JK Welco & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +11.7%
1.49
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.25
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tartu JK Welco attacking → ← attacking Tulevik Viljandi II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tartu JK Welco scored in 86% of their last 36 games.

Tulevik Viljandi II let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Tartu JK Welco went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Tulevik Viljandi II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

72 Points in last 5 7
3.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kuressaare362286117:4874
2Elva362151067:3968
3Tartu JK Welco362041274:5064
4Tammeka Tartu II361851389:6459
5Tallinna Kalev U21361671372:5355
6Sillamae Kalev II361661470:6154
7Raasiku Joker3614101274:6652
8Viimsi JK361561556:6451
9Flora U1936482427:8520
10Tulevik Viljandi II36333026:14212