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Tartu Kalev vs Johvi Phoenix Prediction & H2H Stats

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Minajev M.
20' Event
Dubovikov N.
43'
Kohv K.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Tartu Kalev and Johvi Phoenix finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Johvi Phoenix.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Tartu Kalev
15%
Draws
57%
Johvi Phoenix
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Johvi Phoenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Tartu Kalev haven't matched Johvi Phoenix's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Johvi Phoenix taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Johvi Phoenix have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 10%
Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tartu Kalev Johvi Phoenix
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 16 18
Draws 2 3
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 2.47 2.58
Goals Conceded 2.16 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Johvi Phoenix
0:3
Jul 4, 2026 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Tartu Kalev
3:2
May 1, 2026 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Tartu Kalev
4:3
Sep 27, 2025 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Tartu Kalev
3:1
Sep 7, 2025 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Tartu Kalev
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tartu Kalev Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Johvi Phoenix Compare

Top Goalscorer Minajev M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dubovikov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tartu Kalev 18 / 100
Johvi Phoenix 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tartu Kalev Johvi Phoenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Johvi Phoenix Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tartu Kalev scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Johvi Phoenix let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tartu Kalev stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tartu Kalev VS Johvi Phoenix
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tartu Kalev

(Home)
26 Sept
Tulevik
6 : 1
Tartu Kalev
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
10 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Tartu Kalev
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
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Johvi Phoenix

(Away)
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tabasalu
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Levadia U19
6 : 2
Johvi Phoenix
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 31 19 2 10 78:52 59
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 31 14 5 12 81:64 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 31 3 3 25 26:116 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)