Sport Picks

Estonia

Esiliiga B

Tartu Kalev

1 - 0

Legion

Our Tip

Match Events

80'

Kaasik K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tartu Kalev in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tartu Kalev.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Tartu Kalev

Draws

Legion

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tartu Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Legion haven't matched Tartu Kalev's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Tartu Kalev's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).
History favors Tartu Kalev here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 91%

Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 37%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%

Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 68%

Legion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tartu Kalev	Legion
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	13	5
Draws	3	1
Losses	15	24
Goals Scored	2.75	0.88
Goals Conceded	2.63	5.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.75	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.63	5.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Esiliiga B

Tartu Kalev vs Legion

Possession: 55% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

10:2

May 24, 2026 Esiliiga B

Legion vs Tartu Kalev

Possession: 45% - 59% Cards: 1 - 0

0:6

Apr 11, 2026 Esiliiga B

Tartu Kalev vs Legion

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Nov 1, 2025 Esiliiga B

Tartu Kalev vs Legion

Possession: 56% - 50% Cards: 2 - 4

4:3

Aug 2, 2025 Esiliiga B

Legion vs Tartu Kalev

Possession: 42% - 40% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tartu Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaasik K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.12

Avg xA / game 1.38

Legion Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tartu Kalev 95 / 100

Legion 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tartu Kalev Legion

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 4:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tartu Kalev scored in 97% of their last 31 games.

Legion let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Difficult form: Legion registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tartu Kalev VS Legion

2.75 Goals Scored 0.88

2.63 Goals Conceded 5.25

100% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 100%

75% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tammeka Tartu U21	19	12	2	5	54:37	38
2	Tulevik	19	11	1	7	55:39	34
3	Johvi Phoenix	19	11	1	7	49:47	34
4	Narva U21	18	10	2	6	44:28	32
5	Parnu JK Vaprus U21	19	10	2	7	56:42	32
6	Levadia U19	19	10	2	7	48:34	32
7	Tabasalu	19	9	0	10	33:50	27
8	Tartu Kalev	19	8	1	10	49:42	25
9	Tallinna Kalev U21	19	4	2	13	38:46	14
10	Legion	18	2	1	15	16:77	7