Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Tartu Kalev host Tabasalu in the Esiliiga B. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Tartu Kalev at 3.25 goals for, 3.13 against; Tabasalu at 3 for, 2.75 against. Past meetings favor Tartu Kalev slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (3.00 - 3.06) back Tartu Kalev to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Tartu Kalev come out ahead of Tabasalu on wins alone.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Tartu Kalev taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tartu Kalev | Tabasalu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 3.25 | 3 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.13 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.13 | 2.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tartu Kalev found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (30 games).
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Defensive concern: Tabasalu conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Tartu Kalev went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Tartu Kalev
(Home)Tabasalu
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tammeka Tartu U21 | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 59:41 | 41 |
| 2 | Narva U21 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 48:29 | 35 |
| 3 | Tulevik | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 55:39 | 34 |
| 4 | Johvi Phoenix | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 49:47 | 34 |
| 5 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 57:46 | 32 |
| 6 | Levadia U19 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 48:39 | 32 |
| 7 | Tartu Kalev | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 54:42 | 28 |
| 8 | Tabasalu | 20 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 33:52 | 27 |
| 9 | Tallinna Kalev U21 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 42:51 | 14 |
| 10 | Legion | 19 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 18:77 | 10 |
