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Tartu Kalev vs Tammeka Tartu U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Villems M.
7' Event
Muur R.
62' Event
Kohv K.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Tartu Kalev and Tammeka Tartu U21 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Tartu Kalev
22%
Draws
18%
Tammeka Tartu U21
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Tartu Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Tammeka Tartu U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tartu Kalev are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 10%
Tammeka Tartu U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tartu Kalev Tammeka Tartu U21
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 2.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tammeka Tartu U21
2:2
Apr 19, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Tartu Kalev
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tammeka Tartu U21
1:4
Jul 20, 2024 Esiliiga B
Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Tartu Kalev
7:1
Jun 3, 2024 Esiliiga B
Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Tartu Kalev
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tartu Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Villems M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kohv K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Tammeka Tartu U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Muur R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kiidron K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tartu Kalev 56 / 100
Tammeka Tartu U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tartu Kalev Tammeka Tartu U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tartu Kalev found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (28 games).

Tammeka Tartu U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Tartu Kalev has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tartu Kalev VS Tammeka Tartu U21
2.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tammeka Tartu U2119122554:3738
2Tulevik19111755:3934
3Johvi Phoenix19111749:4734
4Narva U2118102644:2832
5Parnu JK Vaprus U2119102756:4232
6Levadia U1919102748:3432
7Tabasalu20901133:5227
8Tartu Kalev19811049:4225
9Tallinna Kalev U2119421338:4614
10Legion19311518:7710