Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup 2013/2014

Toompea

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tartu SK 10 II play Toompea in the Estonian Cup 2013/2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tartu SK 10 II averaged 1 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Toompea averaged 4.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Tartu SK 10 II won 0, Toompea won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 3, 2013 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.40 for Tartu SK 10 II and 3.21 for Toompea. This points to a Tartu SK 10 II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Tartu SK 10 II

15%

Draws

41%

Toompea

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tartu SK 10 II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Tartu SK 10 II picked up more points recently compared to Toompea.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.40 vs 3.21 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Tartu SK 10 II Clean Sheet 10%

Toompea Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tartu SK 10 II	Toompea
Matches Played	6	5
Wins	4	2
Draws	0	0
Losses	2	3
Goals Scored	1	4.6
Goals Conceded	1.83	1.8
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	4.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.83	1.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2013 Estonian Cup

Tartu SK 10 II vs Toompea

Possession: 41% - 48% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tartu SK 10 II 42 / 100

Toompea 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tartu SK 10 II Toompea

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tartu SK 10 II or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tartu SK 10 II attacking → ← attacking Toompea

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tartu SK 10 II scored in 75% of their last 4 games.

Toompea let in goals in 75% of their last 4 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Tartu SK 10 II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Toompea lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 6

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 4.60

1.83 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.80