Sport Picks
Tartu Ulikool vs Kalju III Prediction & H2H Stats
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2015/2016 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-3, with Kalju III advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tartu Ulikool
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Tartu Ulikool carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Tartu Ulikool have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Kalju III, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Tartu Ulikool Clean Sheet 10%
Kalju III Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tartu Ulikool | Kalju III |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 13 | 11 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.15 | 3.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 27, 2015 Estonian Cup
Tartu Ulikool vs Kalju III
2:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tartu Ulikool 29 / 100
Kalju III 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tartu Ulikool Kalju III
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tartu Ulikool Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kalju III let in goals in 100% of their last 11 matches.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Away concern: Kalju III has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Tartu Ulikool scored in 58% of their last 12 games.
Scoring Trends
Tartu Ulikool VS Kalju III
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
4.25 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Tartu Ulikool
(Home) 23 Jul
TransferWise
3 : 2 Tartu Ulikool
21 Jun
Tartu Ulikool
1 : 0 Viimsi Lovid
24 Aug
Tartu Ulikool
4 : 6 SK EPMU Tartu
24 Jul
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts
0 : 3 Tartu Ulikool
27 Jun
Tartu Ulikool
2 : 3 Kalju III
Page 1 of 3
21 Jun
Tartu Ulikool
1 : 0 Viimsi Lovid
24 Aug
Tartu Ulikool
4 : 6 SK EPMU Tartu
27 Jun
Tartu Ulikool
2 : 3 Kalju III
10 Jul
Tartu Ulikool
0 : 3 Otepaa
13 Jun
Tartu Ulikool
: Taebla
Page 1 of 2
Kalju III
(Away) 18 Jul
Laanemaa Haapsalu
6 : 0 Kalju III
10 Aug
Kalju III
0 : 5 Flora Tallinn U21
03 Sept
Retro
2 : 1 Kalju III
29 Jul
Kalju III
4 : 1 Otepaa
27 Jun
Tartu Ulikool
2 : 3 Kalju III
Page 1 of 3
18 Jul
Laanemaa Haapsalu
6 : 0 Kalju III
03 Sept
Retro
2 : 1 Kalju III
27 Jun
Tartu Ulikool
2 : 3 Kalju III
05 Jun
Parnu Linnameeskond
3 : 1 Kalju III
19 Jul
Kalju
14 : 0 Kalju III
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Flora -
TBD -
Lasnamae 1
Flora Tallinn U21 4
Tallinna Dnipro -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Kalju III 3
Tartu Ulikool 2
TBD -
Otepaa -
Lootos FCR -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 5
Retro 7
Nomme Utd 9
Kohtla-Nomme 1
Igiliikur 1
Ganvix Turi 3
Jogeva 9
JK Jalgpallihaigla 1
Rapla 2
Metropool Parnu 6
Kuressaare 20
Rapla Lokomotiiv 0
IceBears 1
SK Taaksi 10
JK Poseidon 3
Rumori Calcio 2
TBD -
Santos Tartu -
Torva JK 7
Raasiku Valla 1
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve -
Fellin -
TBD -
TBD -
SK EPMU Tartu -
Tallinna Kalev III -
TBD -
TBD -
Loo JK -
Jarva-Jaani -
TBD -
Valga Warrior 0
Navi Vutiselts 4
Parnu Linnameeskond -
TBD -
TBD -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
Maardu United 4
Narva United 3
Harju JK Laagri 1
FCI Tallinn II 5
Viimsi JK 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
TBD -
Oismae Torm -
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Flora U19 0
Kose 0
Tammeka Tartu 4
Sillamae Kalev -
TBD -
TransferWise 1
Marjamaa 2
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts -
TBD -
Raudteetoolised 0
Paide Linnameeskond 31
Merkuur Tartu -
TBD -
Raasiku Joker 3
Rada Kuusalu 4
Olympic Tallinn 2
Pedajamae 0
Kadakas 0
Levadia 8
Tulevik 2
Keila JK 1
Kusimark 1
Kaitseliit 12
Tallinn Piraaja 2
Castovanni Eagles 0
Virtsu 0
FCI Tallinn 36
Narva 14
Eestimaa Kasakad 0
Twister Tallinn 2
Imavere Forss 6
Tallinn CF 4
Elva 3
TBD -
Kalju -
Tallinn Forza 3
Saue JK Laagri 0
Tabasalu 1
Roosu 4
Ambla -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakvere -
Tabivere -
TBD -
Helios 0
Pirita 5
Maardu Starbunker II -
TBD -
Reaal 1
Vaatsa Vald 2
Vastseliina Tannem 4
Tallinna Depoo 2
Moe 0
Lelle 1
Like & Share 2
Jogeva Wolves 1
Puhkus Mehhikos 1
Soccernet 2
Eston Villa 2
FC Tartu 1
TBD -
Legion -
Bronx Wood 5
Roosad Pantrid 0
TBD -
Viimsi MRJK -
1/32-finals
Flora 3
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Tallinna Dnipro 0
Tartu JK Welco 3
Kalju III 4
Otepaa 1
Lootos FCR 0
Retro 12
Nomme Utd 4
Ganvix Turi 3
Jogeva 1
Metropool Parnu 4
Kuressaare 4
SK Taaksi 2
JK Poseidon 0
Santos Tartu 11
Torva JK 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Fellin 1
SK EPMU Tartu 5
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Loo JK 0
Jarva-Jaani 1
Navi Vutiselts 2
Parnu Linnameeskond 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Maardu United 1
FCI Tallinn II 4
Viimsi JK 6
Oismae Torm 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 1
Tammeka Tartu 5
Sillamae Kalev 6
Marjamaa 1
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts 0
Paide Linnameeskond 13
Merkuur Tartu 4
Rada Kuusalu 2
Olympic Tallinn 0
Levadia 14
Tulevik 7
Kaitseliit 0
Tallinn Piraaja 0
FCI Tallinn 8
Narva 12
Imavere Forss 0
Tallinn CF 0
Kalju 3
Tallinn Forza 7
Roosu 2
Ambla 0
Rakvere 10
Tabivere 1
Pirita 0
Maardu Starbunker II 0
Vaatsa Vald 3
Vastseliina Tannem 2
Lelle 0
Like & Share 2
Soccernet 4
Eston Villa 5
Legion 1
Bronx Wood 1
Viimsi MRJK 3
1/16-finals
Flora 2
Tartu JK Welco 0
Kalju III 1
Retro 2
Nomme Utd 8
Metropool Parnu 0
Kuressaare 3
Santos Tartu 4
Torva JK 2
SK EPMU Tartu 1
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Navi Vutiselts 3
Parnu Linnameeskond 3
FCI Tallinn II 0
Viimsi JK 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Sillamae Kalev 4
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Merkuur Tartu 1
Levadia 13
Tulevik 2
FCI Tallinn 1
Narva 1
Kalju 2
Tallinn Forza 4
Rakvere 0
Tabivere 4
Vaatsa Vald 7
Vastseliina Tannem 5
Soccernet 0
Eston Villa 2
Viimsi MRJK 3
1/8-finals
Flora 17
Retro 0
Nomme Utd 2
Santos Tartu 3
Torva JK 7
Navi Vutiselts 0
Parnu Linnameeskond 1
Tammeka Tartu 2
Sillamae Kalev 1
Levadia 0
Tulevik 0
Kalju 5
Tallinn Forza 6
Vaatsa Vald 2
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Viimsi MRJK 4
Quarter-finals
Flora 3
Santos Tartu 1
Torva JK 0
Tammeka Tartu 2
Sillamae Kalev 1
Kalju 0
Tallinn Forza 1
Viimsi MRJK 6
Semi-finals
Flora 2
Tammeka Tartu 0
Sillamae Kalev 2
Viimsi MRJK 0
Final
Flora 3
Sillamae Kalev 0
