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Tartu Valk vs Valga Warrior

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2007
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AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2007 game between Tartu Valk and Valga Warrior finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tartu Valk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tartu Valk
6%
Draws
4%
Valga Warrior
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tartu Valk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Valga Warrior haven't matched Tartu Valk's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Tartu Valk taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga 2007 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Valga Warrior have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tartu Valk Clean Sheet 20%
Valga Warrior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tartu Valk Valga Warrior
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 6
Draws 8 3
Losses 15 26
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 4.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2007 Esiliiga
Valga Warrior vs Tartu Valk
10:2
Aug 12, 2007 Esiliiga
Tartu Valk vs Valga Warrior
3:2
Jun 10, 2007 Esiliiga
Valga Warrior vs Tartu Valk
3:2
Apr 8, 2007 Esiliiga
Tartu Valk vs Valga Warrior
2:6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tartu Valk 85 / 100
Valga Warrior 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tartu Valk Valga Warrior

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valga Warrior's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 34 matches.

H2H data points to 7.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Tartu Valk scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Tartu Valk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Valga Warrior
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 4.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levadia U2136275495:2086
2Flora II36246697:3378
3Sillamae Kalev36209767:4069
4Tammeka Tartu U213614111151:3953
5TVMK Tallinn II361581381:6853
6Kalju361391469:6948
7Valga Warrior361351872:7344
8Tulevik Viljandi II36972037:8434
9Tartu Valk36782149:9329
10Elva36323117:11611