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Taruma W vs Itacoatiara W

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Goncalves L.
45' Event
Ferreira A.
51' Event
Thais M.

AI Match Summary

Taruma W in this Amazonense Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Taruma W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Taruma W
15%
Draws
12%
Itacoatiara W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Taruma W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Taruma W have won more games recently than Itacoatiara W.
  • Taruma W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Taruma W Clean Sheet 20%
Itacoatiara W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taruma W Itacoatiara W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 3 3
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 2.63 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.1 3.23
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Amazonense Women
Taruma W vs Itacoatiara W
4:3
Aug 14, 2024 Amazonense Women
Itacoatiara W vs Taruma W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taruma W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelma
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ferreira A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Itacoatiara W Compare

Top Goalscorer Goncalves L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thais M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taruma W 85 / 100
Itacoatiara W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taruma W Itacoatiara W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taruma W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itacoatiara W let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Taruma W scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Itacoatiara W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Taruma W VS Itacoatiara W
3.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Taruma W

(Home)
29 Aug
Taruma W
1 : 2
Amazonas Legis W
18 Aug
Taruma W
1 : 5
3B da Amazonia W
13 Aug
Amazonas Legis W
0 : 8
Taruma W
07 Aug
Penarol W
0 : 3
Taruma W
14 Sept
Penarol W
2 : 1
Taruma W
Page 1 of 6

Itacoatiara W

(Away)
08 Aug
Itacoatiara W
0 : 18
Atletico-PI W
01 Aug
Itabirito W
9 : 0
Itacoatiara W
25 Jul
Itacoatiara W
0 : 4
3B da Amazonia W
30 May
Perolas Negras W
2 : 2
Itacoatiara W
27 May
Mauaense W
3 : 0
Itacoatiara W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol W 5 5 0 0 24:1 15
2 Manaus W 5 3 1 1 22:4 10
3 Taruma W 5 2 2 1 15:13 8
4 Itacoatiara W 5 2 0 3 21:12 6
5 Amazonas Legis W 5 0 1 4 7:36 1
6 Manicore W 5 0 2 3 7:30 -2
Promotion - Amazonense Women 2025 (Play Offs)