Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tarup-Paarup vs Slagelse

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Traore A.

AI Match Summary

Slagelse in this Landspokal Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Tarup-Paarup
15%
Draws
0%
Slagelse
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tarup-Paarup

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Slagelse lately — more wins on the board than Tarup-Paarup.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Slagelse arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Slagelse, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Tarup-Paarup Clean Sheet 20%
Slagelse Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarup-Paarup Slagelse
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.3 1.11
Goals Conceded 2 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2021 Betano Pokalen
Tarup-Paarup vs Slagelse
0:1
Apr 22, 2019 2nd Division - Group 1
Slagelse vs Tarup-Paarup
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tarup-Paarup Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Slagelse Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarup-Paarup 32 / 100
Slagelse 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarup-Paarup Slagelse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Slagelse has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tarup-Paarup found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Slagelse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Tarup-Paarup VS Slagelse
1 Goals Scored 1.5
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tarup-Paarup

(Home)
05 Aug
Tarup-Paarup
0 : 3
Vejle
21 Feb
Tarup-Paarup
0 : 6
Naesby
06 Aug
Morud
3 : 2
Tarup-Paarup
30 Jul
Naesby
5 : 2
Tarup-Paarup
24 Feb
Tarup-Paarup
1 : 1
Naesby
Page 1 of 6

Slagelse

(Away)
05 Aug
Slagelse
0 : 4
Sundby
28 Jan
Fremad Amager
3 : 0
Slagelse
02 Aug
Slagelse
0 : 5
Sonderjyske
23 Jul
Slagelse
0 : 3
Ishoj IF
11 Jun
Vanlose
1 : 0
Slagelse
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Dollefjelde-Musse 1
Frederikssund 8
LUIF 0
BK Frem 9
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
Hviding IF 0
Boldklubben 1913 5
Aabyhoj 0
Jammerbugt 2
Skovshoved 0
Hillerod 4
TBD -
Sonderjyske -
Dianalund 0
Roskilde KFUM 8
FC Kalundborg 1
AB Copenhagen 7
Naesby 3
Fredericia 4
TBD -
Viborg -
Virum-Sorgenfri BK 1
Norrebro FF 2
Herstedoster IC 1
Hvidovre IF 9
Svebolle 1
Greve IF 0
Avarta 1
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 3
Marienlyst 3
FC Sydvest 05 0
Tarup-Paarup 0
Slagelse 1
Skibet 2
Bredballe 3
SfB-Oure 0
Middelfart 6
Holbaek 2
Naestved IF 0
BK Viktoria 0
Fremad Amager 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Randers FC -
Viby 1
VSK Aarhus 2
Soften GF 0
Thisted FC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
Nyhavn 0
Skjold 4
Helsingor 2
Koge 1
BSF 0
Roskilde 2
TBD -
Odense -
Varde 3
Boldklubben 1909 0
Saedding/Guldager IF 1
Horsens 4
Fuglebakken 0
Skive 2
TBD -
Silkeborg -
Fremad Valby 2
Bronshoj 1
Horsholm-Usserod 0
Vanlose 2
Vordingborg 2
Ishoj IF 1
TBD -
Vejle -
Brabrand 1
Hobro 0
Strandby 1
Vendsyssel FF 6
Dalum IF 1
Kolding IF 4
Bolbro 1
Esbjerg 5
Hellerup 1
Boldklubben 1893 2
B 1908 1
Nykobing 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Aalborg Freja 2
Give Fremad 1
Skalborg 0
Helsted 2
Flemlose Harby 0
Fjordager 3
Holstebro 0
Lyseng 2
Bornholm 0
Allerod 5
Nakskov 1
Herlev 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
Kvik/Aalestrup IF 1
Kjellerup 2
Norresundby 0
Aarhus Fremad 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
AB Tarnby 2
Tarnby FF 3
Osterbro IF 0
Lyngby 9
FIUK Odense 2
Lojt 1
TBD -
Aalborg -
1/32-finals
Frederikssund 0
BK Frem 1
TBD -
Aarhus -
Boldklubben 1913 1
Jammerbugt 0
Hillerod 0
Sonderjyske 5
Roskilde KFUM 0
AB Copenhagen 5
Fredericia 2
Viborg 1
Norrebro FF 1
Hvidovre IF 3
Svebolle 0
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 1
Marienlyst 3
Slagelse 1
Bredballe 1
Middelfart 4
Holbaek 1
Fremad Amager 2
TBD -
Randers FC -
VSK Aarhus 3
Thisted FC 2
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
Skjold 1
Helsingor 3
Roskilde 1
Odense 2
Varde 0
Horsens 8
Skive 1
Silkeborg 3
Fremad Valby 0
Vanlose 4
Vordingborg 0
Vejle 2
Brabrand 4
Vendsyssel FF 3
Kolding IF 2
Esbjerg 1
Boldklubben 1893 0
Nykobing 1
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Aalborg Freja 2
Helsted 1
Fjordager 2
Lyseng 3
Allerod 3
Herlev 0
TBD -
Brondby -
Kjellerup 2
Aarhus Fremad 1
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Tarnby FF 1
Lyngby 5
FIUK Odense 0
Aalborg 13
1/16-finals
BK Frem 0
Aarhus 3
Boldklubben 1913 3
Sonderjyske 4
AB Copenhagen 0
Fredericia 2
Hvidovre IF 3
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 0
Marienlyst 1
Middelfart 2
Fremad Amager 2
Randers FC 3
VSK Aarhus 1
Nordsjaelland 2
Helsingor 0
Odense 3
Horsens 3
Silkeborg 2
Vanlose 3
Vejle 4
Brabrand 0
Kolding IF 1
Nykobing 3
FC Copenhagen 0
Aalborg Freja 2
Lyseng 1
Allerod 1
Brondby 8
Kjellerup 0
Midtjylland 5
Lyngby 0
Aalborg 4
1/8-finals
Aarhus 0
Sonderjyske 2
Fredericia 1
Hvidovre IF 2
Middelfart 0
Randers FC 4
Nordsjaelland 1
Odense 4
Horsens 1
Vejle 3
Kolding IF 3
Nykobing 2
Aalborg Freja 0
Brondby 3
Midtjylland 3
Aalborg 1
Quarter-finals
Sonderjyske 4
Hvidovre IF 3
Randers FC 2
Odense 3
Vejle 6
Kolding IF 3
Brondby 2
Midtjylland 3
Semi-finals
Sonderjyske 1
Odense 5
Vejle 1
Midtjylland 4
Final
Odense 0
Midtjylland 1