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Tarxien vs Qrendi Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2022/2023
Tarxien Logo

Tarxien

4 - 0
FT
Qrendi Logo

Qrendi

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2022/2023 game between Tarxien and Qrendi finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tarxien.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Tarxien
15%
Draws
31%
Qrendi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tarxien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Tarxien carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tarxien's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Challenge League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Tarxien have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Tarxien Clean Sheet 16%
Qrendi Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tarxien Qrendi
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.61 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 11, 2022 Challenge League
Tarxien vs Qrendi
4:0
Mar 5, 2022 Challenge League
Tarxien vs Qrendi
2:0
Nov 28, 2021 Challenge League
Qrendi vs Tarxien
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tarxien 57 / 100
Qrendi 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tarxien Qrendi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tarxien Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qrendi let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Tarxien scored in 74% of their last 38 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Tarxien has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tarxien VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tarxien

(Home)
20 Sept
Tarxien
3 : 1
Attard
13 Sept
Mgarr
1 : 3
Tarxien
10 May
Zabbar
2 : 0
Tarxien
05 May
Zabbar
2 : 3
Tarxien
30 Apr
Tarxien
2 : 1
Sliema
Page 1 of 8

Qrendi

(Away)
05 Feb
Mosta FC
4 : 0
Qrendi
10 Jan
Sirens
0 : 2
Qrendi
23 Apr
Qrendi
2 : 2
Marsa
16 Apr
Marsaskala FC
1 : 3
Qrendi
05 Apr
Qrendi
1 : 2
Fgura
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sliema 17 15 2 0 40:10 47
2 Naxxar Lions 17 13 2 2 40:15 41
3 Zejtun 17 11 0 6 35:22 33
4 Tarxien 17 9 5 3 34:19 32
5 Zurrieq 17 9 2 6 33:28 29
6 Melita 17 7 5 5 29:22 26
7 Fgura 17 7 4 6 41:25 25
8 Marsa 17 6 6 5 27:23 24
9 Swieqi 17 6 6 5 33:31 24
10 St. Andrews 17 6 4 7 23:27 22
11 Lija 17 5 5 7 28:32 20
12 Attard 17 5 4 8 19:30 19
13 San Gwann 17 5 3 9 20:34 18
14 Marsaskala FC 17 4 3 10 28:39 15
15 Mqabba FC 17 4 3 10 21:36 15
16 Qrendi 17 3 5 9 19:36 14
17 Mtarfa 17 4 2 11 11:28 14
18 Vittoriosa 17 3 1 13 14:38 10
Promotion - Challenge League 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)