Sport Picks
Match Events
37'
37'
Yuri
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Tarxien haven't matched Valletta's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Valletta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Valletta, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Valletta here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Tarxien Clean Sheet 22%
Valletta Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tarxien | Valletta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.68 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 Premier League
Valletta vs Tarxien
3:1
Jan 28, 2026 FA Trophy
Tarxien vs Valletta
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Premier League
Tarxien vs Valletta
1:2
Aug 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Valletta vs Tarxien
0:3
Mar 1, 2025 Challenge League
Valletta vs Tarxien
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tarxien 32 / 100
Valletta 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tarxien Valletta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Valletta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tarxien scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Valletta let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Tarxien stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tarxien VS Valletta
1.6 Goals Scored 0.88
1.2 Goals Conceded 1.75
80% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Tarxien
(Home) 13 Sept
Mgarr
1 : 3 Tarxien
10 May
Zabbar
2 : 0 Tarxien
05 May
Zabbar
2 : 3 Tarxien
30 Apr
Tarxien
2 : 1 Sliema
24 Apr
Tarxien
0 : 0 Birkirkara
Page 1 of 6
30 Apr
Tarxien
2 : 1 Sliema
24 Apr
Tarxien
0 : 0 Birkirkara
19 Apr
Tarxien
3 : 3 Zabbar
14 Apr
Tarxien
3 : 2 Hibernians
11 Apr
Tarxien
2 : 2 Mosta FC
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Valletta
(Away) 13 Sept
Valletta
2 : 2 Balzan FC
07 Sept
Floriana
0 : 2 Valletta
02 Sept
Hibernians
0 : 2 Valletta
28 Aug
Valletta
1 : 2 Marsaxlokk
23 Aug
Gzira
0 : 3 Valletta
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Floriana
0 : 2 Valletta
02 Sept
Hibernians
0 : 2 Valletta
23 Aug
Gzira
0 : 3 Valletta
23 Jul
Rakow Czestochowa
3 : 1 Valletta
11 Jul
Balzan FC
1 : 2 Valletta
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Xaghra 1
Fgura -
TBD -
Sirens 1
Santa Lucia 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Zabbar -
TBD -
Melita 0
Xewkija 1
St. Andrews 3
Vittoriosa 0
TBD -
Gzira -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Zebbug 0
Qala Saints 5
TBD -
Mgarr -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
Qormi 1
Balzan FC 4
Nadur 1
Birzebbuga 4
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
1/16-finals
Tarxien 4
Ghajnsielem 0
Pembroke 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Fgura 2
Santa Lucia 1
Birkirkara 3
Victoria Wanderers 1
Pieta 5
Mtarfa 0
Floriana 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Zabbar 1
Xewkija 0
St. Andrews 0
Gzira 2
Hibernians 3
Gudja 1
Qala Saints 0
Mgarr 2
Mosta FC 2
Mqabba FC 1
Zurrieq 4
Kercem Ajax 0
Balzan FC 1
Birzebbuga 2
Sliema 1
Swieqi 2
Marsa 0
Naxxar Lions 3
1/8-finals
Tarxien 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Fgura 0
Birkirkara 2
Pieta 0
Floriana 0
Zabbar 1
Gzira 3
Hibernians 2
Mgarr 0
Mosta FC 3
Zurrieq 3
Birzebbuga 0
Swieqi 2
Naxxar Lions 4
Quarter-finals
Valletta 3
Hamrun 1
Birkirkara 2
Zabbar 1
Gzira 2
Mosta FC 1
Zurrieq 1
Naxxar Lions 2
Semi-finals
Valletta 3
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Final
Valletta 2
Gzira 1
