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Tasman United vs Southern United

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tasman United play Southern United in the Football Championship 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tasman United averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Southern United averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Tasman United won 3, Southern United won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 18, 2020 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for Tasman United and 1.50 for Southern United. This points to a Tasman United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tasman United
39%
Draws
30%
Southern United
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Tasman United demonstrates higher offensive output (2.38 avg goals) than Southern United (1.25 avg goals).
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Football Championship 2019/2020 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Tasman United Clean Sheet 16%
Southern United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tasman United Southern United
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2020 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Southern United
5:0
Nov 2, 2019 Football Championship
Southern United vs Tasman United
0:3
Feb 17, 2019 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Southern United
1:2
Nov 25, 2018 Football Championship
Southern United vs Tasman United
3:1
Jan 21, 2018 Football Championship
Southern United vs Tasman United
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tasman United Compare

Top Goalscorer Saiko J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Slotemaker F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Southern United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tasman United 31 / 100
Southern United 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tasman United Southern United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tasman United scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Southern United let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Tasman United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Southern United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tasman United VS Southern United
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland City16114142:1537
2Team Wellington16104236:1534
3Waitakere United1683535:3227
4Eastern Suburbs1664633:2622
5Tasman United1662827:2620
6Hamilton1662824:3920
7Southern United1654725:3819
8Wellington Phoenix 21646630:3218
9Hawke s Bay1643932:4415
10Canterbury16241019:3610