Sport Picks

Wales

Division 1 2013/2014

Ton Pentre

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tata Steel play Ton Pentre in the Division 1 2013/2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tata Steel averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Ton Pentre averaged 1.62 goals scored and 2.24 conceded. In past meetings, Tata Steel won 1, Ton Pentre won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 16, 2014 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Tata Steel and 3.13 for Ton Pentre. This points to a Ton Pentre double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Tata Steel

27%

Draws

42%

Ton Pentre

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Ton Pentre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Tata Steel picked up more points recently compared to Ton Pentre.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 3.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 73%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%

Tata Steel Clean Sheet 10%

Ton Pentre Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tata Steel	Ton Pentre
Matches Played	30	21
Wins	7	8
Draws	6	3
Losses	17	10
Goals Scored	1.1	1.62
Goals Conceded	2.1	2.24
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.00	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2014 Division 1

Tata Steel vs Ton Pentre

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

1:3

Mar 8, 2014 Division 1

Ton Pentre vs Tata Steel

Possession: 44% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Apr 9, 2013 Division 1

Tata Steel vs Ton Pentre

Possession: 40% - 42% Cards: 3 - 4

2:2

Sep 8, 2012 Division 1

Ton Pentre vs Tata Steel

Possession: 49% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tata Steel 30 / 100

Ton Pentre 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tata Steel Ton Pentre

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ton Pentre or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.49

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tata Steel attacking → ← attacking Ton Pentre

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tata Steel scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Ton Pentre let in goals in 81% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Tata Steel went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ton Pentre lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 27

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.25

4.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Monmouth	30	21	2	7	78:33	65
2	Taffs Well	30	19	6	5	63:30	63
3	Penybont	30	17	4	9	77:44	55
4	Haverfordwest	30	16	7	7	59:37	55
5	Goytre AFC	30	15	9	6	49:43	54
6	Cambrian United	30	15	5	10	60:44	50
7	Caerau Ely	30	12	10	8	52:51	46
8	Aberdare Town	30	13	5	12	49:48	44
9	Goytre Utd	30	11	6	13	56:43	39
10	AFC Porth	30	10	9	11	48:49	39
11	Ton Pentre	30	9	11	10	36:47	38
12	Pontardawe	30	9	6	15	34:60	33
13	Cwmbran Celtic	30	7	5	18	40:58	26
14	Tata Steel	30	6	7	17	29:65	25
15	Aberbargoed Buds	30	4	8	18	35:65	17
16	West End	30	5	2	23	36:84	17