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Taubate vs Sao Jose EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Gabriel Ramos
60' Event
Romarinho
90' Event
Michael Paulista

AI Match Summary

Sao Jose EC in this Paulista A2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Jose EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Taubate
35%
Draws
36%
Sao Jose EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sao Jose EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Jose EC have won more games recently than Taubate.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Taubate Clean Sheet 18%
Sao Jose EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taubate Sao Jose EC
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 7 21
Draws 13 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Paulista A2
Taubate vs Sao Jose EC
1:2
Jul 20, 2025 Copa Paulista
Taubate vs Sao Jose EC
0:2
Jun 15, 2025 Copa Paulista
Sao Jose EC vs Taubate
2:0
Mar 19, 2025 Paulista A2
Taubate vs Sao Jose EC
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 Paulista A2
Sao Jose EC vs Taubate
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taubate Compare

Top Goalscorer Romarinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Sao Jose EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Ramos
1 Goals
Assists Leader Michael Paulista
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taubate 32 / 100
Sao Jose EC 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taubate Sao Jose EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Jose EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taubate went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Taubate scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Sao Jose EC conceded in 65% of 40 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Taubate VS Sao Jose EC
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Taubate

(Home)
07 Mar
Taubate
1 : 1
Gremio Prudente
28 Feb
Sao Bento
2 : 3
Taubate
25 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1
Piracicaba
21 Feb
Agua Santa
2 : 3
Taubate
18 Feb
Taubate
1 : 1
Santo Andre
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Sao Jose EC

(Away)
19 Sept
Sao Jose EC
3 : 0
Comercial
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0
Sao Jose EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
15 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 3
Sao Jose EC
08 Aug
Sao Jose EC
2 : 0
Santo Andre
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa 15 10 1 4 24:14 31
2 Ferroviaria 15 8 4 3 22:12 28
3 Ituano 15 8 4 3 22:14 28
4 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 21:13 27
5 Sertaozinho 15 7 4 4 19:19 25
6 Votuporanguense 15 7 3 5 16:17 24
7 Juventus-SP 15 6 5 4 22:20 23
8 Piracicaba 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
9 Osasco Sporting 15 5 7 3 22:18 22
10 Santo Andre 15 5 3 7 16:22 18
11 Taubate 15 3 8 4 22:23 17
12 Internacional de Limeira 15 4 4 7 15:18 16
13 Linense 15 2 7 6 12:18 13
14 Monte Azul 15 2 6 7 17:22 12
15 Gremio Prudente 15 1 9 5 12:16 12
16 Sao Bento 15 1 2 12 8:25 5
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)