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Taubate W vs Taboao da Serra W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Taubate W play Taboao da Serra W in the Paulista Women 2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, Taubate W averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. Taboao da Serra W averaged 1.33 goals scored and 4.3 conceded. In past meetings, Taubate W won 0, Taboao da Serra W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 13, 2011 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Taubate W and 1.63 for Taboao da Serra W. This points to a Taboao da Serra W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Taubate W
15%
Draws
43%
Taboao da Serra W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Taboao da Serra W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Taubate W picked up more points recently compared to Taboao da Serra W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Taubate W Clean Sheet 14%
Taboao da Serra W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taubate W Taboao da Serra W
Matches Played 48 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 9 0
Losses 23 20
Goals Scored 1.33 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.73 4.3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2011 Paulista Women
Taubate W vs Taboao da Serra W
1:2
May 28, 2011 Paulista Women
Taboao da Serra W vs Taubate W
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taubate W 41 / 100
Taboao da Serra W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taubate W Taboao da Serra W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Taboao da Serra W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Taubate W attacking → ← attacking Taboao da Serra W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taubate W scored in 69% of their last 48 games.

Taboao da Serra W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Taubate W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Taboao da Serra W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 30
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rio Preto W16141170:1043
2Ferroviaria W16122253:1538
3Francana W16110536:2033
4Botucatu W1692546:929
5America Sao Manuel W1683537:2227
6Sao Judas Tadeu W16501122:3715
7Marilia W16401229:6312
8Piracicaba W16311218:4810
9Paulista W1611147:944
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Jose W181521108:947
2Santos W18151299:1246
3Centro Olimpico W18130580:1739
4Portuguesa W18112551:1835
5CA Juventus W1894555:2231
6Taboao da Serra W18801033:4524
7Taubate W18441019:5216
8Mogi das Cruzes SP W18311417:11610
9Sao Bernardo W18241220:6910
10Sao Vicente W18101713:1353