Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tauranga vs Caversham

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2003
Tauranga Logo

Tauranga

0 - 1
FT
Caversham Logo

Caversham

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship 2003 game between Tauranga and Caversham finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caversham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Tauranga
15%
Draws
57%
Caversham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caversham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Caversham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Tauranga Clean Sheet 10%
Caversham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tauranga Caversham
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.47 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 2.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2003 Football Championship
Tauranga vs Caversham
0:1
Feb 23, 2003 Football Championship
Caversham vs Tauranga
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tauranga 30 / 100
Caversham 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tauranga Caversham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tauranga's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Caversham has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Caversham's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tauranga VS Caversham
1.57 Goals Scored 1.88
2.29 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 75%
57% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tauranga

(Home)
12 Jul
Tauranga
1 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
29 Jun
Tauranga
0 : 2
Onehunga
25 May
North Shore
3 : 1
Tauranga
18 May
Tauranga
2 : 3
Napier City
11 May
Tauranga
3 : 2
Canterbury
Page 1 of 6

Caversham

(Away)
03 Aug
Caversham
1 : 2
Bay Olympic
07 Jul
Roslyn Wakari
2 : 3
Caversham
15 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 0
Caversham
06 Aug
Waitakere City
3 : 1
Caversham
16 Jul
Queenstown Rovers
0 : 1
Caversham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Miramar 18 11 0 7 46:29 33
2 East Auckland 18 10 3 5 34:24 33
3 Central United 18 10 1 7 44:29 31
4 Napier City 18 9 2 7 29:28 29
5 Manawatu 18 8 3 7 32:29 27
6 Canterbury 18 7 5 6 34:34 26
7 North Shore 18 6 5 7 30:34 23
8 Caversham 18 5 5 8 19:26 20
9 Dunedin 18 6 2 10 24:38 20
10 Tauranga 18 4 2 12 20:41 14
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)