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Tauranga vs Manawatu

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2003
Tauranga Logo

Tauranga

2 - 2
FT
Manawatu Logo

Manawatu

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship 2003 game between Tauranga and Manawatu finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Tauranga
15%
Draws
42%
Manawatu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tauranga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tauranga come out ahead of Manawatu on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tauranga a 43% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Football Championship 2003 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Tauranga Clean Sheet 16%
Manawatu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tauranga Manawatu
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 10 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 28
Goals Scored 1.47 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.9 3.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2003 Football Championship
Manawatu vs Tauranga
2:1
Mar 8, 2003 Football Championship
Tauranga vs Manawatu
2:2
May 12, 2002 Football Championship
Tauranga vs Manawatu
5:0
Mar 24, 2002 Football Championship
Manawatu vs Tauranga
2:3
Aug 5, 2001 Football Championship
Tauranga vs Manawatu
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tauranga 84 / 100
Manawatu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tauranga Manawatu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tauranga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manawatu let in goals in 95% of their last 38 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Tauranga scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Manawatu registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tauranga VS Manawatu
0.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Tauranga

(Home)
12 Jul
Tauranga
1 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
29 Jun
Tauranga
0 : 2
Onehunga
25 May
North Shore
3 : 1
Tauranga
18 May
Tauranga
2 : 3
Napier City
11 May
Tauranga
3 : 2
Canterbury
Page 1 of 6

Manawatu

(Away)
24 Feb
Manawatu
1 : 4
Auckland City
17 Feb
Canterbury
4 : 1
Manawatu
10 Feb
WaiBOP United
2 : 3
Manawatu
03 Feb
Manawatu
0 : 6
Team Wellington
26 Jan
Waitakere United
4 : 0
Manawatu
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Miramar 18 11 0 7 46:29 33
2 East Auckland 18 10 3 5 34:24 33
3 Central United 18 10 1 7 44:29 31
4 Napier City 18 9 2 7 29:28 29
5 Manawatu 18 8 3 7 32:29 27
6 Canterbury 18 7 5 6 34:34 26
7 North Shore 18 6 5 7 30:34 23
8 Caversham 18 5 5 8 19:26 20
9 Dunedin 18 6 2 10 24:38 20
10 Tauranga 18 4 2 12 20:41 14
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)