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Tauranga vs Miramar

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2003
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship 2003 game between Tauranga and Miramar finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Miramar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Tauranga
15%
Draws
64%
Miramar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Miramar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Miramar come out ahead of Tauranga on wins alone.
  • Model gives Miramar a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Miramar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tauranga Clean Sheet 20%
Miramar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tauranga Miramar
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.47 2.15
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2003 Football Championship
Tauranga vs Miramar
0:4
Feb 9, 2003 Football Championship
Miramar vs Tauranga
3:0
Apr 25, 2002 Football Championship
Tauranga vs Miramar
3:2
Mar 10, 2002 Football Championship
Miramar vs Tauranga
2:0
Jun 24, 2001 Football Championship
Tauranga vs Miramar
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tauranga 10 / 100
Miramar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tauranga Miramar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Miramar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Miramar let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Tauranga scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Tauranga stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Miramar
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tauranga

(Home)
12 Jul
Tauranga
1 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
29 Jun
Tauranga
0 : 2
Onehunga
25 May
North Shore
3 : 1
Tauranga
18 May
Tauranga
2 : 3
Napier City
11 May
Tauranga
3 : 2
Canterbury
Page 1 of 6

Miramar

(Away)
26 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Miramar
04 Jul
Island Bay
1 : 3
Miramar
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Miramar
29 Nov
Miramar
2 : 1
Western Suburbs
23 Nov
Birkenhead
1 : 4
Miramar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Miramar 18 11 0 7 46:29 33
2 East Auckland 18 10 3 5 34:24 33
3 Central United 18 10 1 7 44:29 31
4 Napier City 18 9 2 7 29:28 29
5 Manawatu 18 8 3 7 32:29 27
6 Canterbury 18 7 5 6 34:34 26
7 North Shore 18 6 5 7 30:34 23
8 Caversham 18 5 5 8 19:26 20
9 Dunedin 18 6 2 10 24:38 20
10 Tauranga 18 4 2 12 20:41 14
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Football Championship 2003 (Play Offs)