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Tauranga vs Onehunga

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Onehunga in this Chatham Cup 2014 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Tauranga
15%
Draws
64%
Onehunga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Onehunga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Tauranga have won more games recently than Onehunga.
  • Model gives Onehunga a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Tauranga have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Onehunga, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Tauranga Clean Sheet 10%
Onehunga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tauranga Onehunga
Matches Played 31 14
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 0
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.52 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 2.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2014 Chatham Cup
Tauranga vs Onehunga
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tauranga 14 / 100
Onehunga 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tauranga Onehunga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Onehunga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tauranga scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Onehunga has conceded goals in 57% of their last 14 outings.

Solid form: Tauranga remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tauranga VS Onehunga
1.57 Goals Scored 1.88
2.29 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 75%
57% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tauranga

(Home)
12 Jul
Tauranga
1 : 2
Eastern Suburbs
29 Jun
Tauranga
0 : 2
Onehunga
25 May
North Shore
3 : 1
Tauranga
18 May
Tauranga
2 : 3
Napier City
11 May
Tauranga
3 : 2
Canterbury
Page 1 of 7

Onehunga

(Away)
25 Aug
Napier City
2 : 1
Onehunga
03 Aug
Onehunga
5 : 4
Wellington Olympic
06 Jul
Onehunga
2 : 0
North Shore
04 Aug
Onehunga
1 : 4
Western Suburbs
14 Jul
Melville
1 : 3
Onehunga
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Central United 3
Glenfield 1
Bay Olympic 2
Hamilton 3
Island Bay 3
Miramar 2
Tawa 2
Napier City 4
Ngongotaha AFC 1
Melville 2
Tauranga 0
Onehunga 2
Dunedin 1
Otago University 0
Coastal Spirit 0
Cashmere Technical 1
Quarter-finals
Central United 2
Hamilton 0
Island Bay 1
Napier City 4
Melville 1
Onehunga 2
Dunedin 0
Cashmere Technical 3
Semi-finals
Central United 2
Napier City 0
Onehunga 0
Cashmere Technical 4
Final
Central United 1
Cashmere Technical 2