Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tauras Taurage vs Hegelmann Litauen 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Jorge Eduardo
20' Event
Petravicius J.
38' Event
Jorge Eduardo

AI Match Summary

Tauras Taurage in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tauras Taurage.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tauras Taurage
20%
Draws
44%
Hegelmann Litauen 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hegelmann Litauen 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Tauras Taurage have won more games recently than Hegelmann Litauen 2.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Tauras Taurage taking it.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Tauras Taurage Clean Sheet 68%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tauras Taurage Hegelmann Litauen 2
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.71 1
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 I Lyga
Tauras Taurage vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
6:1
Nov 9, 2025 I Lyga
Tauras Taurage vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
0:0
Jun 27, 2025 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Tauras Taurage
1:0
Aug 17, 2024 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Tauras Taurage
3:3
Mar 23, 2024 I Lyga
Tauras Taurage vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tauras Taurage Compare

Top Goalscorer Jorge Eduardo
2 Goals
Assists Leader Petravicius J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Hegelmann Litauen 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonaitis L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tauras Taurage 68 / 100
Hegelmann Litauen 2 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tauras Taurage Hegelmann Litauen 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tauras Taurage Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tauras Taurage found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Hegelmann Litauen 2 conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Tauras Taurage has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tauras Taurage VS Hegelmann Litauen 2
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tauras Taurage

(Home)
18 Sept
Jonava
2 : 3
Tauras Taurage
12 Sept
Tauras Taurage
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
05 Sept
FK Atmosfera
3 : 1
Tauras Taurage
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2
BFA Vilnius
21 Aug
FK Babrungas
1 : 1
Tauras Taurage
Page 1 of 7

Hegelmann Litauen 2

(Away)
18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1
Dainava Alytus
11 Sept
Transinvest 2
4 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
04 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
5 : 1
Siauliai 2
29 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 0
Hegelmann Litauen 2
21 Aug
Hegelmann Litauen 2
3 : 2
Ekranas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 24 21 1 2 63:13 64
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 24 11 7 6 34:23 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
11 Garliava 24 7 4 13 29:27 25
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 24 7 1 16 23:38 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)