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Tavua vs Ba

Fiji Fiji

Premier League 2018
2 - 4
FT
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2018 game between Tavua and Ba finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

5%
Tavua
15%
Draws
80%
Ba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Ba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ba a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ba have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tavua Clean Sheet 10%
Ba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tavua Ba
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 1 19
Draws 9 8
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 0.8 2.78
Goals Conceded 2.33 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Premier League
Tavua vs Ba
1:2
May 11, 2025 Premier League
Ba vs Tavua
5:0
Sep 17, 2023 Premier League
Ba vs Tavua
3:0
Apr 22, 2023 Premier League
Ba vs Tavua
3:2
Aug 24, 2019 Premier League
Ba vs Tavua
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tavua 10 / 100
Ba 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tavua Ba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Ba conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Tavua scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Tavua remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tavua VS Ba
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
3.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tavua

(Home)
27 Sept
Tavua
1 : 2
Ba
13 Sept
Nasinu
5 : 2
Tavua
30 Aug
Tavua
1 : 2
Navua
24 Aug
Nadroga
1 : 1
Tavua
27 Jul
Lautoka
2 : 0
Tavua
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Ba

(Away)
09 Aug
Ba
6 : 0
Tailevu Naitasiri
01 Aug
Labasa
1 : 2
Ba
26 Jul
Ba
4 : 1
Lautoka
19 Jul
Ba
1 : 0
Navua
12 Jul
Suva
1 : 2
Ba
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