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Tavua vs Ba

Fiji Fiji

Premier League 2025
Tavua Logo

Tavua

1 - 2
FT
Ba Logo

Ba

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Duwai W.
42' Event
Dogalau E.
45' Event
Kautoga V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025 game between Tavua and Ba finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

5%
Tavua
15%
Draws
80%
Ba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Ba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ba's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ba have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tavua Clean Sheet 10%
Ba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tavua Ba
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 19
Draws 9 7
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 0.8 2.84
Goals Conceded 2.33 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Premier League
Tavua vs Ba
1:2
May 11, 2025 Premier League
Ba vs Tavua
5:0
Sep 17, 2023 Premier League
Ba vs Tavua
3:0
Apr 22, 2023 Premier League
Ba vs Tavua
3:2
Aug 24, 2019 Premier League
Ba vs Tavua
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tavua Compare

Top Goalscorer Duwai W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ba Compare

Top Goalscorer Dogalau E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kautoga V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tavua 10 / 100
Ba 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tavua Ba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Ba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Tavua found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Tavua remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tavua VS Ba
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
3.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tavua

(Home)
27 Sept
Tavua
1 : 2
Ba
13 Sept
Nasinu
5 : 2
Tavua
30 Aug
Tavua
1 : 2
Navua
24 Aug
Nadroga
1 : 1
Tavua
27 Jul
Lautoka
2 : 0
Tavua
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Ba

(Away)
09 Aug
Ba
6 : 0
Tailevu Naitasiri
01 Aug
Labasa
1 : 2
Ba
26 Jul
Ba
4 : 1
Lautoka
19 Jul
Ba
1 : 0
Navua
12 Jul
Suva
1 : 2
Ba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rewa 18 13 4 1 51:13 43
2 Labasa 18 11 4 3 45:24 37
3 Lautoka 18 11 1 6 30:23 34
4 Ba 18 7 6 5 41:23 27
5 Navua 18 8 2 8 22:25 26
6 Suva 18 5 8 5 29:24 23
7 Nadi 18 5 5 8 31:35 20
8 Nadroga 18 5 4 9 26:41 19
9 Nasinu 18 5 3 10 28:56 18
10 Tavua 18 0 3 15 12:51 3
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2025 (Preliminary)