Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TB Berlin vs Malchower

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2018/2019 Mommsenstadion, Berlin
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2018/2019 game between TB Berlin and Malchower finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TB Berlin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
TB Berlin
20%
Draws
48%
Malchower
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Malchower

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • TB Berlin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans TB Berlin's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors TB Berlin here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
TB Berlin Clean Sheet 68%
Malchower Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TB Berlin Malchower
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 2
Draws 7 1
Losses 16 27
Goals Scored 1.61 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.9 3.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2019 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Malchower vs TB Berlin
1:7
Nov 30, 2018 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
TB Berlin vs Malchower
7:0
Apr 13, 2018 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Malchower vs TB Berlin
0:1
Oct 20, 2017 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
TB Berlin vs Malchower
4:1
Mar 17, 2017 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
TB Berlin vs Malchower
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TB Berlin 95 / 100
Malchower 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TB Berlin Malchower

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TB Berlin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malchower let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: TB Berlin scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Malchower lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TB Berlin VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

TB Berlin

(Home)
28 Aug
FSV Schwerin
2 : 1
TB Berlin
16 Aug
TUS Makkabi
0 : 0
TB Berlin
07 Aug
TB Berlin
2 : 2
Stendal
11 Jul
Rsv Eintracht
3 : 1
TB Berlin
01 Jul
SV Tasmania Berlin
3 : 0
TB Berlin
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Malchower

(Away)
28 Jan
Malchower
1 : 2
TSG Neustrelitz
22 Jul
Malchower
4 : 2
Rathenow
05 Jul
Malchower
0 : 9
Hansa Rostock
26 Jun
Malchower
0 : 4
Hansa Rostock
08 Jun
Malchower
1 : 7
TB Berlin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lichtenberg 30 23 5 2 69:12 74
2 TB Berlin 30 21 4 5 76:27 67
3 Greifswalder FC 30 18 5 7 67:44 59
4 Hertha Zehlendorf 30 16 7 7 64:33 55
5 Hansa Rostock II 30 16 7 7 69:39 55
6 Blau Weiss Berlin 30 13 5 12 58:39 44
7 Altludersdorf 30 13 2 15 50:61 41
8 SC Staaken 30 10 8 12 56:52 38
9 Torgelower Greif 30 10 8 12 44:48 38
10 TSG Neustrelitz 30 10 7 13 37:46 37
11 CFC Hertha 30 12 1 17 45:67 37
12 Stendal 30 11 2 17 42:72 35
13 Strausberg 30 10 3 17 42:64 33
14 Brandenburger 30 9 5 16 52:64 32
15 Wismar 30 8 8 14 25:47 32
16 Malchower 30 1 1 28 28:109 4
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2019/2020 (Main)