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Team Wellington vs Lae City

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Hailemariam N.
14' Event
Hailemariam N.
17' Event
Hilliar S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 11-0, with Team Wellington advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Team Wellington
15%
Draws
14%
Lae City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Team Wellington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Team Wellington come out ahead of Lae City on wins alone.
  • Team Wellington are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Team Wellington have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Team Wellington, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Team Wellington Clean Sheet 15%
Lae City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Team Wellington Lae City
Matches Played 33 26
Wins 22 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2.79 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.15 2.65
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2018 OFC Champions League
Team Wellington vs Lae City
11:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Team Wellington Compare

Top Goalscorer Kilkolly A.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Hailemariam N.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Lae City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Team Wellington 84 / 100
Lae City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Team Wellington Lae City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Team Wellington Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Team Wellington scored in 91% of their last 33 games.

Lae City let in goals in 92% of their last 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 11.00 goals per match.

Team Wellington has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Team Wellington VS Lae City
3 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Team Wellington

(Home)
21 Mar
Auckland City
2 : 4
Team Wellington
13 Mar
Team Wellington
4 : 1
Hamilton
27 Feb
Team Wellington
3 : 2
Hamilton
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2
Team Wellington
13 Feb
Team Wellington
7 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 7

Lae City

(Away)
15 Aug
Rewa
2 : 1
Lae City
12 Aug
Lae City
1 : 3
ABM Galaxy
09 Aug
Lae City
4 : 1
Tupapa
18 Feb
Lae City
0 : 2
PNG Hekari
11 Feb
PNG Hekari
2 : 1
Lae City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Team Wellington 11
Lae City 0
Auckland City 2
Solomon Warriors 0
AS Dragon 1
Lautoka 2
Nalkutan 1
Marist 2
Semi-finals
Team Wellington 2
Auckland City 2
Lautoka 2
Marist 1
Final
Team Wellington 10
Lautoka 3