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Team Wellington vs Waitakere United

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2019/2020
Sun, Mar 22, 2020
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Team Wellington host Waitakere United in the Football Championship 2019/2020. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Team Wellington have averaged 2.5 scored and 1.18 conceded recently, against Waitakere United's 2.07 scored and 2.04 conceded. Past meetings favor Waitakere United slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 30, 2021, ending 3:4. The numbers (2.38 xG vs 1.88) point toward Team Wellington. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Team Wellington
15%
Draws
34%
Waitakere United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Team Wellington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Waitakere United haven't matched Team Wellington's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Team Wellington a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Team Wellington Clean Sheet 10%
Waitakere United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Team Wellington Waitakere United
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 2.5 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.18 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2021 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Waitakere United
3:4
Nov 28, 2020 Football Championship
Waitakere United vs Team Wellington
2:2
Mar 22, 2020 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Waitakere United
0:0
Dec 21, 2019 Football Championship
Waitakere United vs Team Wellington
1:1
Jan 13, 2019 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Waitakere United
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Team Wellington 83 / 100
Waitakere United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Team Wellington Waitakere United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Team Wellington Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Team Wellington's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Waitakere United let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: Team Wellington remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Team Wellington VS Waitakere United
2.88 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Team Wellington

(Home)
21 Mar
Auckland City
2 : 4
Team Wellington
13 Mar
Team Wellington
4 : 1
Hamilton
27 Feb
Team Wellington
3 : 2
Hamilton
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2
Team Wellington
13 Feb
Team Wellington
7 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 6

Waitakere United

(Away)
27 Feb
Auckland City
2 : 2
Waitakere United
21 Feb
Waitakere United
2 : 0
Hawke s Bay
14 Feb
Hamilton
3 : 2
Waitakere United
06 Feb
Waitakere United
4 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
30 Jan
Team Wellington
3 : 4
Waitakere United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 16 11 4 1 42:15 37
2 Team Wellington 16 10 4 2 36:15 34
3 Waitakere United 16 8 3 5 35:32 27
4 Eastern Suburbs 16 6 4 6 33:26 22
5 Tasman United 16 6 2 8 27:26 20
6 Hamilton 16 6 2 8 24:39 20
7 Southern United 16 5 4 7 25:38 19
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 16 4 6 6 30:32 18
9 Hawke s Bay 16 4 3 9 32:44 15
10 Canterbury 16 2 4 10 19:36 10
Promotion - Football Championship 2019/2020 (Play Offs)