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Tebessa vs ESC El Yachir

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2011/2012
Sat, Dec 31, 2011
2 - 1
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tebessa play ESC El Yachir in the Algeria Cup 2011/2012. ESC El Yachir are favorites here. Recently, Tebessa averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. ESC El Yachir averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Tebessa won 1, ESC El Yachir won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 31, 2011 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Tebessa and 0.94 for ESC El Yachir. This points to a ESC El Yachir double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Tebessa
25%
Draws
60%
ESC El Yachir
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: ESC El Yachir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Tebessa picked up more points recently compared to ESC El Yachir.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Tebessa Clean Sheet 24%
ESC El Yachir Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tebessa ESC El Yachir
Matches Played 16 1
Wins 9 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 7 1
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 31, 2011 Algeria Cup
Tebessa vs ESC El Yachir
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tebessa 18 / 100
ESC El Yachir 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tebessa ESC El Yachir

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESC El Yachir Win (2)
Secondary Pick ESC El Yachir & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tebessa attacking → ← attacking ESC El Yachir

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tebessa scored in 63% of their last 16 games.

ESC El Yachir let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Tebessa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

ESC El Yachir lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 0
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00