Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TEC vs ADO 20 Heemskerk

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ADO 20 Heemskerk in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored ADO 20 Heemskerk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
TEC
15%
Draws
37%
ADO 20 Heemskerk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TEC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ADO 20 Heemskerk lately — more wins on the board than TEC.
  • Model gives TEC a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
TEC Clean Sheet 20%
ADO 20 Heemskerk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TEC ADO 20 Heemskerk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.59 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Derde Divisie
TEC vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
1:2
Nov 16, 2025 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs TEC
1:0
May 26, 2019 Derde Divisie
TEC vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
2:0
Jan 13, 2019 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs TEC
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TEC 49 / 100
ADO 20 Heemskerk 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TEC ADO 20 Heemskerk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TEC found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

ADO 20 Heemskerk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

TEC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TEC VS ADO 20 Heemskerk
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

TEC

(Home)
06 Sept
HVV Hollandia
4 : 5
TEC
01 Sept
TEC
4 : 2
Almkerk
29 Aug
TEC
1 : 2
Sportlust
22 Aug
TEC
3 : 1
Sparta Nijkerk
15 Aug
ACV Assen
1 : 0
TEC
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ADO 20 Heemskerk

(Away)
05 Sept
SVZW Wierden
4 : 6
ADO 20 Heemskerk
01 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
29 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 0
Staphorst
22 Aug
Eemdijk
4 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
16 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1
USV Hercules
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)