Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie game between TEC and DVS '33 Ermelo finished 4-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: TEC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- DVS '33 Ermelo have managed 1.61 goals a game lately — TEC are scoring more at 1.72.
- Model gives TEC a 39% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
TEC Clean Sheet 17%
DVS '33 Ermelo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | TEC | DVS '33 Ermelo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Derde Divisie
TEC vs DVS '33 Ermelo
4:4
Mar 7, 2026 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs TEC
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 Derde Divisie
TEC vs DVS '33 Ermelo
0:1
May 3, 2025 Derde Divisie
TEC vs DVS '33 Ermelo
4:1
Nov 23, 2024 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs TEC
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
TEC 48 / 100
DVS '33 Ermelo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
TEC DVS '33 Ermelo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: TEC scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
DVS '33 Ermelo has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
TEC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
TEC VS DVS '33 Ermelo
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
TEC
(Home) 20 Sept
USV Hercules
2 : 4 TEC
12 Sept
TEC
4 : 4 DVS '33 Ermelo
06 Sept
HVV Hollandia
4 : 5 TEC
01 Sept
TEC
4 : 2 Almkerk
29 Aug
TEC
1 : 2 Sportlust
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
TEC
4 : 4 DVS '33 Ermelo
01 Sept
TEC
4 : 2 Almkerk
29 Aug
TEC
1 : 2 Sportlust
22 Aug
TEC
3 : 1 Sparta Nijkerk
07 Jun
TEC
3 : 0 NEO
Page 1 of 4
DVS '33 Ermelo
(Away) 19 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 1 HVV Hollandia
12 Sept
TEC
4 : 4 DVS '33 Ermelo
05 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
02 Sept
ATC 65
1 : 2 DVS '33 Ermelo
29 Aug
ACV Assen
1 : 1 DVS '33 Ermelo
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
TEC
4 : 4 DVS '33 Ermelo
02 Sept
ATC 65
1 : 2 DVS '33 Ermelo
29 Aug
ACV Assen
1 : 1 DVS '33 Ermelo
15 Aug
Genemuiden
2 : 1 DVS '33 Ermelo
08 Aug
GVVV
3 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACV Assen | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Genemuiden | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 15 |
| 4 | VV Scherpenzeel | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Excelsior 31 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 13 |
| 6 | Sportlust | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14:9 | 12 |
| 7 | Purmersteijn | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17:14 | 8 |
| 9 | TEC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:12 | 7 |
| 10 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | 7 |
| 12 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 5 |
| 13 | VV DOVO | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:13 | 5 |
| 14 | USV Hercules | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | 3 |
| 15 | Staphorst | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | 3 |
| 16 | Eemdijk | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:19 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13:20 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9:20 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Noordwijk | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:0 | 16 |
| 2 | Lisse | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 15 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 14 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Dongen | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 7 | SV Poortugaal | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 8 | GOES | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 9 | VVSB | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 10 | VV Zwaluwen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | 7 |
| 11 | Gemert | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 12 | UNA | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 13 | Groene Ster | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 14 | Roosendaal | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 15 | Blauw Geel | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 16 | Achilles Veen | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:18 | 3 |
| 17 | TOGB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | 2 |
| 18 | EVV | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7:16 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
