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Tecnico U. vs Dep. Cuenca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Tecnico U. Logo

Tecnico U.

3 - 1
FT
Dep. Cuenca Logo

Dep. Cuenca

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Mancinelli L.
(Penalty)
28' Event
Armas D.
Assist: Delgado B.
41' Event
Johan Bocanegra
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Tecnico U. and Dep. Cuenca finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tecnico U..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tecnico U.
30%
Draws
39%
Dep. Cuenca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dep. Cuenca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Dep. Cuenca haven't matched Tecnico U.'s recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 17%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tecnico U. Dep. Cuenca
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 7
Draws 1 8
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.86 0.68
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Dep. Cuenca
3:1
May 2, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Tecnico U.
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Dep. Cuenca
0:2
May 17, 2025 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Tecnico U.
2:0
Oct 5, 2024 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Tecnico U.
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tecnico U. Compare

Top Goalscorer Armas D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johan Bocanegra
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Dep. Cuenca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tecnico U. 36 / 100
Dep. Cuenca 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tecnico U. Dep. Cuenca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Cuenca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Cuenca has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Tecnico U.'s goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Tecnico U. stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tecnico U. VS Dep. Cuenca
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tecnico U.

(Home)
10 Oct
Manta
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
20 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 1
Delfin
13 Sept
Leones del Norte
0 : 1
Tecnico U.
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
01 Sept
Delfin
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
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Dep. Cuenca

(Away)
20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
07 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1
Libertad
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
29 Aug
Tecnico U.
3 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)