Sport Picks

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Tecnico U. vs Dep. Cuenca

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tecnico U. host Dep. Cuenca in the Liga Pro. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Tecnico U. have averaged 0.79 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Dep. Cuenca's 0.97 scored and 1.21 conceded. Head-to-head, Tecnico U. have won 1 to Dep. Cuenca's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.00 - 1.25) back Dep. Cuenca to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Tecnico U.
15%
Draws
42%
Dep. Cuenca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tecnico U.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Tecnico U. haven't matched Dep. Cuenca's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Dep. Cuenca a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 19%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tecnico U. Dep. Cuenca
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 8 12
Draws 2 7
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 0.79 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Tecnico U.
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Dep. Cuenca
0:2
May 17, 2025 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Tecnico U.
2:0
Oct 5, 2024 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Tecnico U.
1:1
Apr 18, 2024 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Dep. Cuenca
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tecnico U. 28 / 100
Dep. Cuenca 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tecnico U. Dep. Cuenca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Cuenca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Cuenca has conceded goals in 71% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Dep. Cuenca's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tecnico U.'s goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tecnico U. VS Dep. Cuenca
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tecnico U.

(Home)
16 Aug
Emelec
2 : 1
Tecnico U.
10 Aug
Tecnico U.
0 : 3
Mushuc Runa
01 Aug
U. Catolica
5 : 0
Tecnico U.
26 Jul
Tecnico U.
1 : 0
Manta
22 Jul
Independiente del Valle
3 : 0
Tecnico U.
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Dep. Cuenca

(Away)
16 Aug
Orense
2 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
11 Aug
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 2
Manta
02 Aug
Independiente del Valle
1 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
28 Jul
Dep. Cuenca
2 : 1
Emelec
22 Jul
Macara
3 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 26 22 1 3 64:26 67
2 Macara 25 12 6 7 33:25 42
3 Aucas 25 12 5 8 29:26 41
4 U. Catolica 25 11 7 7 40:22 40
5 LDU Quito 25 11 5 9 24:20 38
6 Barcelona SC 25 9 9 7 25:20 36
7 Leones del Norte 26 9 8 9 28:28 35
8 Libertad 25 9 7 9 28:29 34
9 Mushuc Runa 26 8 9 9 32:34 33
10 Emelec 25 8 8 9 21:29 32
11 Dep. Cuenca 26 9 5 12 22:32 32
12 Guayaquil City 25 7 9 9 22:27 30
13 Orense 25 8 6 11 30:36 30
14 Tecnico U. 25 8 2 15 21:34 26
15 Delfin 25 6 6 13 17:27 24
16 Manta 25 4 5 16 11:32 17
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)