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Tecnico U. vs Guayaquil City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Tecnico U. Logo

Tecnico U.

2 - 3
FT
Guayaquil City Logo

Guayaquil City

Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Castano M.
39'
Armas D.
41' Event
Armas D.
Assist: Johan Bocanegra
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guayaquil City in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guayaquil City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tecnico U.
20%
Draws
40%
Guayaquil City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guayaquil City lately — more wins on the board than Tecnico U..
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 12%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tecnico U. Guayaquil City
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 1 8
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.89 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Guayaquil City
2:3
Apr 26, 2026 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Tecnico U.
1:0
Nov 11, 2023 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Tecnico U.
1:0
Jun 4, 2023 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Guayaquil City
3:0
Aug 14, 2022 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Guayaquil City
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tecnico U. Compare

Top Goalscorer Armas D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castano M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Guayaquil City Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolanos M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tecnico U. 30 / 100
Guayaquil City 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tecnico U. Guayaquil City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guayaquil City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Tecnico U. went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Tecnico U. scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tecnico U. VS Guayaquil City
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tecnico U.

(Home)
20 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 1
Delfin
13 Sept
Leones del Norte
0 : 1
Tecnico U.
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
01 Sept
Delfin
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
29 Aug
Tecnico U.
3 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
Page 1 of 6

Guayaquil City

(Away)
19 Sept
Guayaquil City
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1
Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3
Guayaquil City
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
29 Aug
Guayaquil City
2 : 1
LDU Quito
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)