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Tecnico U. vs Mushuc Runa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Tecnico U. Logo

Tecnico U.

Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Mushuc Runa Logo

Mushuc Runa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tecnico U. host Mushuc Runa in the Liga Pro. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Mushuc Runa have shipped 1.3 goals a game lately, while Tecnico U. have conceded 1.46 and scored 0.89. Head-to-head, Tecnico U. have won 1 to Mushuc Runa's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 10, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.63, favoring Mushuc Runa. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Tecnico U.
35%
Draws
19%
Mushuc Runa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tecnico U.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Mushuc Runa's 1.2 goals per match outpaces what Tecnico U. have produced (0.89).
  • Win probability leans Tecnico U.'s way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 14%
Mushuc Runa Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tecnico U. Mushuc Runa
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 1 10
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.89 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Mushuc Runa
0:3
Apr 18, 2026 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Tecnico U.
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Tecnico U.
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Mushuc Runa
0:0
Jul 27, 2025 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Tecnico U.
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tecnico U. 41 / 100
Mushuc Runa 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tecnico U. Mushuc Runa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mushuc Runa conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Tecnico U. stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tecnico U. scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Tecnico U. VS Mushuc Runa
1 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tecnico U.

(Home)
20 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 1
Delfin
13 Sept
Leones del Norte
0 : 1
Tecnico U.
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
01 Sept
Delfin
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
29 Aug
Tecnico U.
3 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
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Mushuc Runa

(Away)
09 Oct
Delfin
3 : 2
Mushuc Runa
20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1
Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
02 Sept
LDU Quito
0 : 0
Mushuc Runa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
11 Mushuc Runa 32 9 12 11 38:42 39
12 Dep. Cuenca 31 10 7 14 26:38 37
13 Orense 31 9 6 16 37:49 33
14 Tecnico U. 31 10 3 18 29:43 33
15 Delfin 32 8 8 16 23:34 32
16 Manta 31 6 6 19 19:43 24
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)