Sport Picks

Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista

U. Catolica

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tecnico U. play U. Catolica in the Liga Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tecnico U. averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. U. Catolica averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Tecnico U. won 1, U. Catolica won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 12, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Tecnico U. and 1.31 for U. Catolica. This points to a U. Catolica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Tecnico U.

22%

Draws

43%

U. Catolica

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Tecnico U. picked up more points recently compared to U. Catolica.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 18%

U. Catolica Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tecnico U.	U. Catolica
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	9	10
Draws	4	9
Losses	15	11
Goals Scored	0.93	1.43
Goals Conceded	1.18	1.27
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga Pro

Tecnico U. vs U. Catolica

Possession: 50% - 52% Cards: 0 - 3

0:2

Aug 24, 2025 Liga Pro

U. Catolica vs Tecnico U.

Possession: 45% - 57% Cards: 3 - 0

2:0

May 3, 2025 Liga Pro

Tecnico U. vs U. Catolica

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 4 - 3

1:1

Nov 4, 2024 Liga Pro

Tecnico U. vs U. Catolica

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Sep 19, 2024 Copa Ecuador

U. Catolica vs Tecnico U.

Possession: 48% - 50% Cards: 3 - 3

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tecnico U. Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

U. Catolica Compare

Top Goalscorer Chancellor Jhon

1 Goals

Assists Leader Palacios B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tecnico U. 35 / 100

U. Catolica 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tecnico U. U. Catolica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: U. Catolica or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.9%

3.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tecnico U. attacking → ← attacking U. Catolica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tecnico U. scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

U. Catolica let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Tecnico U. went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

U. Catolica lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 39

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	17	13	1	3	36:18	40
2	Barcelona SC	17	8	5	4	20:13	29
3	Aucas	17	8	5	4	20:16	29
4	LDU Quito	17	8	3	6	19:14	27
5	Dep. Cuenca	17	8	3	6	18:19	27
6	U. Catolica	17	7	5	5	28:17	26
7	Tecnico U.	17	7	2	8	19:17	23
8	Macara	17	6	5	6	16:18	23
9	Emelec	17	6	5	6	14:17	23
10	Orense	17	6	4	7	22:24	22
11	Mushuc Runa	17	5	6	6	22:23	21
12	Leones del Norte	17	5	5	7	18:19	20
13	Guayaquil City	17	5	4	8	14:20	19
14	Delfin	17	4	5	8	9:16	17
15	Libertad	17	4	5	8	17:25	17
16	Manta	17	3	3	11	7:23	12