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Tecos vs Zapotlanejo

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Tecos Logo

Tecos

4 - 3
FT
Zapotlanejo Logo

Zapotlanejo

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ramirez I.
12' Event
Corona E. S.
27' Event
Bautista K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Tecos and Zapotlanejo finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tecos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Tecos
30%
Draws
47%
Zapotlanejo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zapotlanejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tecos come out ahead of Zapotlanejo on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Zapotlanejo taking it.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tecos Clean Sheet 18%
Zapotlanejo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tecos Zapotlanejo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 6 2
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.77 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Tecos vs Zapotlanejo
4:3
Sep 7, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Zapotlanejo vs Tecos
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tecos Compare

Top Goalscorer Corona E. S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ramirez I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Zapotlanejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bautista K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Medina J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tecos 28 / 100
Zapotlanejo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tecos Zapotlanejo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zapotlanejo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Zapotlanejo conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Tecos scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Tecos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tecos VS Zapotlanejo
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tecos

(Home)
18 Apr
Tecos
0 : 0
Inter Playa Del Carmen
15 Apr
Inter Playa Del Carmen
2 : 0
Tecos
11 Apr
Colima FC
1 : 4
Tecos
27 Mar
Tecos
0 : 2
Leones Negros 2
22 Mar
Los Cabos United
0 : 0
Tecos
Page 1 of 6

Zapotlanejo

(Away)
25 Sept
Zapotlanejo
1 : 0
FC Santiago
19 Sept
Correcaminos 2
1 : 1
Zapotlanejo
12 Sept
Zapotlanejo
4 : 1
Apodaca
06 Sept
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
4 : 0
Zapotlanejo
29 Aug
Zapotlanejo
3 : 0
Guerreros de Autlan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)