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Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Fujieda MYFC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Unilever Stadium Shintomi, Miyazaki
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Match Events

22' Event
Ano M.
Assist: Okumura K.
36' Event
Ano M.
45'
Nagao Y.

AI Match Summary

Tegevajaro Miyazaki in this J2 League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
35%
Draws
13%
Fujieda MYFC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Tegevajaro Miyazaki have won more games recently than Fujieda MYFC.
  • Model gives Tegevajaro Miyazaki a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Clean Sheet 68%
Fujieda MYFC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tegevajaro Miyazaki Fujieda MYFC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.41 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 J2 League
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Fujieda MYFC
3:2
Oct 22, 2022 J3 League
Fujieda MYFC vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1:1
Jul 17, 2022 J3 League
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Fujieda MYFC
1:3
Oct 31, 2021 J3 League
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Fujieda MYFC
1:1
Jun 26, 2021 J3 League
Fujieda MYFC vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Ano M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Inoue R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Fujieda MYFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kawamoto R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manabe H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 77 / 100
Fujieda MYFC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Fujieda MYFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tegevajaro Miyazaki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Fujieda MYFC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tegevajaro Miyazaki VS Fujieda MYFC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

(Home)
11 Oct
Toyama
1 : 1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
07 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1
Omiya Ardija
26 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
18 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 3
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
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Fujieda MYFC

(Away)
10 Oct
Sagan Tosu
1 : 0
Fujieda MYFC
03 Oct
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
29 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 2
Cerezo Osaka
26 Sept
Oita Trinita
1 : 1
Fujieda MYFC
23 Sept
Kyoto
1 : 0
Fujieda MYFC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
2 Omiya Ardija 10 5 5 0 20:9 20
3 Albirex Niigata 10 6 2 2 14:14 20
4 Toyama 10 5 3 2 19:10 18
5 Yokohama FC 10 5 2 3 19:13 17
6 Shonan Bellmare 10 4 5 1 11:9 17
7 Oita Trinita 10 3 5 2 11:8 14
8 Fujieda MYFC 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
9 Blaublitz 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
10 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 10 3 4 3 14:14 13
11 Iwata 10 4 1 5 12:13 13
12 Tokushima 10 4 1 5 10:12 13
13 Montedio Yamagata 10 4 0 6 11:9 12
14 Iwaki 10 4 0 6 13:17 12
15 Sagan Tosu 10 3 2 5 9:12 11
16 Tochigi City 10 3 1 6 16:17 10
17 Imabari 10 3 1 6 11:19 10
18 Kofu 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
19 Vanraure 10 3 1 6 6:17 10
20 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 10 2 2 6 12:19 8
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)