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Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Unilever Stadium Shintomi, Miyazaki
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Match Events

8' Event
Murakoshi K.
Assist: Hashimoto K.
40' Event
Okumura K.
Assist: Iesaka Y.
46'
Sub
Park Min-Gyu In: Miyazawa H.
Out: Park Min-Gyu

AI Match Summary

Tegevajaro Miyazaki in this J2 League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
20%
Draws
23%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Tegevajaro Miyazaki have won more games recently than Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Tegevajaro Miyazaki taking it.
  • Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Clean Sheet 16%
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tegevajaro Miyazaki Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 J2 League
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Murakoshi K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Okumura K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Compare

Top Goalscorer Toyama S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bakayoko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 84 / 100
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tegevajaro Miyazaki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tegevajaro Miyazaki VS Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

(Home)
07 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1
Omiya Ardija
26 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
18 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 3
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
12 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2
Fujieda MYFC
Page 1 of 6

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

(Away)
10 Oct
Iwata
1 : 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
04 Oct
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
2 : 1
Iwaki
29 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 2
Okayama
26 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
19 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 1
Oita Trinita
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
2 Omiya Ardija 10 5 5 0 20:9 20
3 Albirex Niigata 10 6 2 2 14:14 20
4 Toyama 10 5 3 2 19:10 18
5 Yokohama FC 10 5 2 3 19:13 17
6 Shonan Bellmare 10 4 5 1 11:9 17
7 Oita Trinita 10 3 5 2 11:8 14
8 Fujieda MYFC 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
9 Blaublitz 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
10 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 10 3 4 3 14:14 13
11 Iwata 10 4 1 5 12:13 13
12 Tokushima 10 4 1 5 10:12 13
13 Montedio Yamagata 10 4 0 6 11:9 12
14 Iwaki 10 4 0 6 13:17 12
15 Sagan Tosu 10 3 2 5 9:12 11
16 Tochigi City 10 3 1 6 16:17 10
17 Imabari 10 3 1 6 11:19 10
18 Kofu 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
19 Vanraure 10 3 1 6 6:17 10
20 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 10 2 2 6 12:19 8
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