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Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Iwata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Unilever Stadium Shintomi, Miyazaki
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tegevajaro Miyazaki host Iwata in the J2 League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Tegevajaro Miyazaki have averaged 1.45 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Iwata's 1.44 scored and 1.59 conceded. Head-to-head, Tegevajaro Miyazaki have won 2 to Iwata's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 26, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.81) back Tegevajaro Miyazaki to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
15%
Draws
32%
Iwata
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tegevajaro Miyazaki lately — more wins on the board than Iwata.
  • Model gives Tegevajaro Miyazaki a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Clean Sheet 11%
Iwata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tegevajaro Miyazaki Iwata
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 16 12
Draws 4 1
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.44
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Emperors Cup
Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0:1
Jun 12, 2024 Emperors Cup
Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 38 / 100
Iwata 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Iwata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tegevajaro Miyazaki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iwata has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Tegevajaro Miyazaki remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tegevajaro Miyazaki VS Iwata
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

(Home)
07 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1
Omiya Ardija
26 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
18 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 3
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
12 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2
Fujieda MYFC
Page 1 of 6

Iwata

(Away)
04 Oct
Vegalta Sendai
2 : 1
Iwata
29 Sept
Iwata
4 : 2
Chiba
26 Sept
Iwata
1 : 2
Vanraure
19 Sept
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1
Iwata
12 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Iwata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omiya Ardija 10 5 5 0 20:9 20
2 Vegalta Sendai 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
3 Albirex Niigata 9 6 1 2 13:13 19
4 Toyama 9 5 2 2 18:9 17
5 Yokohama FC 10 5 2 3 19:13 17
6 Shonan Bellmare 9 4 4 1 10:8 16
7 Oita Trinita 10 3 5 2 11:8 14
8 Fujieda MYFC 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
9 Blaublitz 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Iwata 10 4 1 5 12:13 13
11 Tokushima 10 4 1 5 10:12 13
12 Montedio Yamagata 9 4 0 5 11:8 12
13 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 9 3 3 3 13:13 12
14 Sagan Tosu 10 3 2 5 9:12 11
15 Tochigi City 10 3 1 6 16:17 10
16 Imabari 10 3 1 6 11:19 10
17 Kofu 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
18 Vanraure 10 3 1 6 6:17 10
19 Iwaki 9 3 0 6 12:17 9
20 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 10 2 2 6 12:19 8
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)