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Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Oita Trinita - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Unilever Stadium Shintomi, Miyazaki
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tegevajaro Miyazaki host Oita Trinita in the J2 League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Oita Trinita have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Tegevajaro Miyazaki have conceded 1 and scored 1.43. Past meetings favor Tegevajaro Miyazaki slightly — 2-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.44, favoring Tegevajaro Miyazaki. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
35%
Draws
42%
Oita Trinita
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oita Trinita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Oita Trinita haven't matched Tegevajaro Miyazaki's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Oita Trinita's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tegevajaro Miyazaki have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Clean Sheet 16%
Oita Trinita Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tegevajaro Miyazaki Oita Trinita
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.43 1.07
Goals Conceded 1 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 J2/J3 League
Oita Trinita vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Oita Trinita
1:0
Jan 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Oita Trinita
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 19 / 100
Oita Trinita 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Oita Trinita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oita Trinita Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tegevajaro Miyazaki found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Oita Trinita let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Tegevajaro Miyazaki stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tegevajaro Miyazaki VS Oita Trinita
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

(Home)
21 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2 : 1
Blaublitz
17 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1
Iwata
11 Oct
Toyama
1 : 1
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
07 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1
Omiya Ardija
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Oita Trinita

(Away)
21 Oct
Iwata
0 : 0
Oita Trinita
17 Oct
Oita Trinita
5 : 1
Albirex Niigata
10 Oct
Yokohama FC
1 : 2
Oita Trinita
03 Oct
Oita Trinita
2 : 1
Montedio Yamagata
26 Sept
Oita Trinita
1 : 1
Fujieda MYFC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 12 8 3 1 21:9 27
2 Albirex Niigata 12 7 2 3 17:20 23
3 Toyama 12 6 4 2 23:11 22
4 Yokohama FC 12 6 3 3 23:14 21
5 Omiya Ardija 12 5 5 2 21:14 20
6 Shonan Bellmare 12 4 7 1 13:11 19
7 Oita Trinita 12 4 6 2 16:9 18
8 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 12 4 5 3 17:16 17
9 Iwaki 12 5 1 6 19:18 16
10 Fujieda MYFC 12 3 6 3 15:13 15
11 Iwata 12 4 3 5 13:14 15
12 Sagan Tosu 12 4 2 6 12:15 14
13 Tokushima 12 4 2 6 10:13 14
14 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
15 Vanraure 12 4 2 6 10:20 14
16 Montedio Yamagata 12 4 1 7 11:11 13
17 Blaublitz 12 3 4 5 13:14 13
18 Tochigi City 12 3 3 6 19:20 12
19 Imabari 12 3 2 7 15:25 11
20 Kofu 12 3 1 8 9:26 10
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)