Sport Picks
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Omiya Ardija - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J2 League Unilever Stadium Shintomi, Miyazaki 
Match Events
18'
18'
Toyokawa Y.
45'
45'
Okumura K.
Assist: Ano M.
46'
46'
Sub
Toyokawa Y. In: Kaua Diniz
Out: Toyokawa Y.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this J2 League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Tegevajaro Miyazaki have won more games recently than Omiya Ardija.
- Tegevajaro Miyazaki are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular J2 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Omiya Ardija have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Clean Sheet 16%
Omiya Ardija Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | Omiya Ardija |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 J2 League
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Omiya Ardija
1:1
Jul 27, 2024 J3 League
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Omiya Ardija
0:2
Mar 23, 2024 J3 League
Omiya Ardija vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Compare
Top Goalscorer Okumura K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Omiya Ardija Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaua Diniz
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 41 / 100
Omiya Ardija 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Omiya Ardija
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tegevajaro Miyazaki scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Omiya Ardija let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Tegevajaro Miyazaki remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tegevajaro Miyazaki VS Omiya Ardija
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
(Home) 07 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
26 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
18 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 3 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
12 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2 Fujieda MYFC
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
26 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
12 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2 Fujieda MYFC
02 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 2 Toyama
22 Aug
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0 : 0 Shonan Bellmare
Page 1 of 3
Omiya Ardija
(Away) 10 Oct
Omiya Ardija
3 : 1 Vanraure
07 Oct
Urawa Reds
3 : 2 Omiya Ardija
04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
26 Sept
Omiya Ardija
5 : 1 Kofu
19 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Urawa Reds
3 : 2 Omiya Ardija
04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
19 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
06 Sept
Blaublitz
0 : 0 Omiya Ardija
02 Sept
Gainare Tottori
3 : 1 Omiya Ardija
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 2 | Omiya Ardija | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20:9 | 20 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:14 | 20 |
| 4 | Toyama | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 11:9 | 17 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 8 | Fujieda MYFC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Blaublitz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 10 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Iwata | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | 13 |
| 12 | Tokushima | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | 13 |
| 13 | Montedio Yamagata | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 14 | Iwaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13:17 | 12 |
| 15 | Sagan Tosu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 16 | Tochigi City | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:17 | 10 |
| 17 | Imabari | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | 10 |
| 18 | Kofu | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 10 |
| 19 | Vanraure | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:17 | 10 |
| 20 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 8 |
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)
