Sport Picks
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J2 League Unilever Stadium Shintomi, Miyazaki 
Match Events
10'
10'
Hiraoka M.
16'
16'
Sub
Vasquez B. In: Yoshida A.
Out: Vasquez B.
21'
21'
Matsumoto K.
Assist: Murakoshi K.
AI Match Summary
Tegevajaro Miyazaki in this J2 League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tegevajaro Miyazaki.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
30%
9%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Tochigi City haven't matched Tegevajaro Miyazaki's recent run of results.
- Model gives Tegevajaro Miyazaki a 61% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Clean Sheet 20%
Tochigi City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | Tochigi City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 3, 2026 J2 League
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi City
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 J3 League
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Tochigi City
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 J3 League
Tochigi City vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Compare
Top Goalscorer Matsumoto K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Murakoshi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Tochigi City Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 85 / 100
Tochigi City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tochigi City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tegevajaro Miyazaki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tegevajaro Miyazaki scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Tochigi City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.
Games between these two average 3.33 goals.
Recent resilience: Tegevajaro Miyazaki stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tegevajaro Miyazaki VS Tochigi City
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
(Home) 03 Nov
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 0 Tochigi City
31 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2 : 0 Oita Trinita
25 Oct
Montedio Yamagata
0 : 2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
21 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2 : 1 Blaublitz
17 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1 Iwata
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 0 Tochigi City
31 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2 : 0 Oita Trinita
21 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2 : 1 Blaublitz
17 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1 Iwata
04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
Page 1 of 4
Tochigi City
(Away) 03 Nov
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 0 Tochigi City
31 Oct
Tochigi City
1 : 3 Iwaki
25 Oct
Shonan Bellmare
2 : 1 Tochigi City
21 Oct
Tochigi City
2 : 2 Fujieda MYFC
17 Oct
Tochigi City
1 : 1 Yokohama FC
Page 1 of 7
03 Nov
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 0 Tochigi City
25 Oct
Shonan Bellmare
2 : 1 Tochigi City
10 Oct
Kofu
2 : 1 Tochigi City
26 Sept
Tokushima
3 : 0 Tochigi City
23 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1 Tochigi City
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albirex Niigata | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22:24 | 29 |
| 2 | Toyama | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Yokohama FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 28:17 | 28 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 27:18 | 27 |
| 5 | Vegalta Sendai | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:14 | 27 |
| 6 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | 26 |
| 7 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 8 | Oita Trinita | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:12 | 22 |
| 9 | Iwata | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18:16 | 22 |
| 10 | Shonan Bellmare | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 15:14 | 22 |
| 11 | Iwaki | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 24:22 | 20 |
| 12 | Sagan Tosu | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 15:17 | 20 |
| 13 | Montedio Yamagata | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 14:14 | 19 |
| 14 | Blaublitz | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16:17 | 17 |
| 15 | Tokushima | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 11:15 | 17 |
| 16 | Fujieda MYFC | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:17 | 16 |
| 17 | Vanraure | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 11:25 | 14 |
| 18 | Tochigi City | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 21:28 | 12 |
| 19 | Imabari | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:31 | 12 |
| 20 | Kofu | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11:29 | 12 |
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)
