Sport Picks
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Toyama - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J.League Cup Unilever Stadium Shintomi, Miyazaki 
Match Events
7'
7'
Kobayashi S.
21'
21'
Nakashima Y.
Assist: Kunitake Y.
46'
46'
Sub
Nagatomo K. In: Sato R.
Out: Nagatomo K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Toyama have won more games recently than Tegevajaro Miyazaki.
- Model gives Tegevajaro Miyazaki a 42% chance of winning this.
- Toyama arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Toyama, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Clean Sheet 15%
Toyama Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | Toyama |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 17 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 11, 2026 J2 League
Toyama vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1:1
Sep 2, 2026 J.League Cup
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Toyama
1:2
May 30, 2026 J2/J3 League
Toyama vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1:0
Oct 12, 2024 J3 League
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Toyama
1:1
May 3, 2024 J3 League
Toyama vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Compare
Top Goalscorer Kobayashi S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Toyama Compare
Top Goalscorer Nakashima Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yoshihira T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 41 / 100
Toyama 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Toyama
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tegevajaro Miyazaki scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Toyama let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Tegevajaro Miyazaki remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tegevajaro Miyazaki VS Toyama
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
(Home) 07 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
26 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
18 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 3 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
12 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2 Fujieda MYFC
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
26 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
12 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2 Fujieda MYFC
02 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 2 Toyama
22 Aug
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0 : 0 Shonan Bellmare
Page 1 of 3
Toyama
(Away) 03 Oct
Kofu
1 : 2 Toyama
29 Sept
Toyama
2 : 3 Urawa Reds
26 Sept
Toyama
3 : 3 Yokohama FC
19 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
0 : 2 Toyama
12 Sept
Toyama
0 : 0 Tochigi City
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Kofu
1 : 2 Toyama
19 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
0 : 2 Toyama
06 Sept
Iwata
0 : 1 Toyama
02 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 2 Toyama
26 Aug
Sagan Tosu
4 : 0 Toyama
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Tochigi City 0
Matsumoto Yamaga 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Kanazawa 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds 3
Toyama 2
Yokohama FC 2
Gifu 1
Okayama 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus 3
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Kumamoto 0
Chiba 2
Iwata 4
Avispa Fukuoka 2
FC Osaka 1
Verdy 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Fujieda MYFC 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 0
Gainare Tottori 2
FC Tokyo 2
Ehime 0
Mito 7
Fukushima United 0
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/16-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Matsumoto Yamaga -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Urawa Reds -
Yokohama FC -
Okayama -
Nagoya Grampus -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Iwata -
Avispa Fukuoka -
Sagan Tosu -
Cerezo Osaka -
Gainare Tottori -
FC Tokyo -
Mito -
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Machida Zelvia 1
Kyoto 0
Kashiwa Reysol 5
Gamba Osaka 4
1/64-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Vanraure 0
Tochigi City 2
Matsumoto Yamaga 4
Shonan Bellmare 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Kanazawa 2
Imabari 1
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 0
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Toyama 2
Ryukyu 2
Yokohama FC 3
Gifu 1
Tokushima 0
Okayama -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Iwaki 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Kumamoto 2
Oita Trinita 0
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Chiba 2
SC Sagamihara 0
Iwata 3
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
FC Osaka 3
Kofu 0
Reilac Shiga 0
Verdy 1
Nara Club 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Fujieda MYFC 2
Kochi United 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Omiya Ardija 1
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Ehime 1
Blaublitz 0
Nagano Parceiro 0
Mito 1
Fukushima United 4
Vegalta Sendai 3
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
