Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tekstilshtik vs Arsenal Tula

Russia Russia

Russian Cup Stadion Tekstilshchik, Ivanovo
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Nikitenkov A. In: Marugin D.
Out: Nikitenkov A.
46' Event
Dzhebov A.
50'
Sub
Krashevskiy Y. In: Isaenko O.
Out: Krashevskiy Y.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Tekstilshtik
30%
Draws
23%
Arsenal Tula
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tekstilshtik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Tekstilshtik have won more games recently than Arsenal Tula.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Tekstilshtik have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tekstilshtik, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Tekstilshtik Clean Sheet 68%
Arsenal Tula Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tekstilshtik Arsenal Tula
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 6 12
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Russian Cup
Tekstilshtik vs Arsenal Tula
1:0
Jul 13, 2026 FNL
Arsenal Tula vs Tekstilshtik
2:1
Oct 21, 2020 Russian Cup
Tekstilshtik vs Arsenal Tula
0:1
Oct 28, 2006 FNL 2 - Group 2
Tekstilshtik vs Arsenal Tula
2:0
Jul 20, 2006 FNL 2 - Group 2
Arsenal Tula vs Tekstilshtik
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tekstilshtik Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzhebov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Arsenal Tula Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tekstilshtik 41 / 100
Arsenal Tula 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tekstilshtik Arsenal Tula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tekstilshtik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Tula's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Tekstilshtik found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Arsenal Tula lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tekstilshtik VS Arsenal Tula
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tekstilshtik

(Home)
17 Sept
Tekstilshtik
0 : 2
R. Volgograd
13 Sept
Leningradets
2 : 2
Tekstilshtik
08 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 0
Arsenal Tula
04 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 4
Torpedo Moscow
29 Aug
Tekstilshtik
0 : 1
Veles Moscow
Page 1 of 6

Arsenal Tula

(Away)
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk
08 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 0
Arsenal Tula
05 Sept
Ulyanovsk
3 : 0
Arsenal Tula
29 Aug
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2
Ural
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ilpar FC 1
Metallurg Asha 0
TBD -
Saratov -
Khimik -
TBD -
TBD -
Nosta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leningradets -
Zvezda St Peterburg -
TBD -
TBD -
Luki-Energiya -
Kirovets-Voskhozhdenie 0
FK Tosno 3
TBD -
Cherepovets -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ural -
Kristall 2
Krasnoye Znamya 3
TBD -
D. Bryansk -
Strogino Moscow -
TBD -
TBD -
Vladimir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Amkar -
TBD -
TBD -
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod -
Bomik 1
Broke Boys 2
TBD -
Kirov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kamaz -
Astrakhan -
TBD -
TBD -
Mashuk -
Nart Cherkessk -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Stavropol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pari Nizhny Novgorod -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
TBD -
Anzhi 1
Izberbash 5
Angust Nazran -
TBD -
TBD -
Maykop -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yenisey -
TBD -
Kursk -
Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 3
Salyut-Belgorod 0
Kaluga -
TBD -
TBD -
Iskra Smolensk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ufa -
Chita 3
FC Irkutsk 0
TBD -
FC Chertanovo Moscow -
Temp Barnaul 3
KDV Tomsk 4
TBD -
Sibir Novosibirsk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
Tekstilshtik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Pobeda -
Spartak Nalchik -
TBD -
TBD -
Alania Vladikavkaz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulyanovsk -
FC Murom -
TBD -
TBD -
M. Lipetsk -
TBD -
FK Shumbrat Saransk -
2Drots 2
FC Oryol 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Veles Moscow -
FC 10 3
Kosmos 2
TBD -
Dynamo Petersburg -
Dynamo Vologda -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Tver -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Volna Nizhegorodskaya -
TBD -
TBD -
Tyumen -
FK Izhevsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Miass -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
SKA Rostov-on-Don 3
Penza 2
TBD -
Spartak Tambov -
Kvant Obninsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Ryazan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
S. Kostroma -
Irtysh Omsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Saturn Ramenskoye -
Anri Vladivostok 1
Dynamo Barnaul 2
TBD -
Dynamo Vladivostok -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelyabinsk -
1/16-finals
Ilpar FC 1
Saratov 3
Khimik 2
Nosta 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leningradets -
Zvezda St Peterburg 1
Luki-Energiya 2
FK Tosno 0
Cherepovets 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ural -
Krasnoye Znamya 2
D. Bryansk 0
Strogino Moscow 0
Vladimir 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Amkar 2
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 0
Broke Boys 0
Kirov 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kamaz -
Astrakhan 2
Mashuk 1
Nart Cherkessk 1
Dynamo Stavropol 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pari Nizhny Novgorod -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 0
Izberbash 3
Angust Nazran 0
Maykop 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yenisey -
Kursk 2
Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 1
Kaluga 5
Iskra Smolensk 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ufa -
Chita 0
FC Chertanovo Moscow 3
KDV Tomsk 3
Sibir Novosibirsk 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
Tekstilshtik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 2
FK Pobeda 0
Spartak Nalchik 4
Alania Vladikavkaz 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulyanovsk -
FC Murom 1
M. Lipetsk 0
FK Shumbrat Saransk 1
2Drots 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Veles Moscow -
FC 10 1
Dynamo Petersburg 2
Dynamo Vologda 2
FK Tver 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2
Tyumen 1
FK Izhevsk 1
Torpedo Miass 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
SKA Rostov-on-Don 1
Spartak Tambov 2
Kvant Obninsk 0
Ryazan 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
S. Kostroma -
Irtysh Omsk 2
Saturn Ramenskoye 1
Dynamo Barnaul 1
Dynamo Vladivostok 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelyabinsk -
1/8-finals
Saratov 2
Nosta 1
TBD -
Leningradets -
Luki-Energiya 4
Cherepovets 1
TBD -
Ural -
Krasnoye Znamya 1
Vladimir 0
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Amkar 4
Kirov 5
TBD -
Kamaz -
Astrakhan 0
Dynamo Stavropol 1
TBD -
Pari Nizhny Novgorod -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
Izberbash 1
Maykop 2
TBD -
Yenisey -
Kursk 1
Kaluga 2
TBD -
Ufa -
FC Chertanovo Moscow 4
KDV Tomsk 2
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
Tekstilshtik -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 3
Spartak Nalchik 0
TBD -
Ulyanovsk -
FC Murom 3
2Drots 0
TBD -
Veles Moscow -
Dynamo Petersburg 2
Dynamo Vologda 1
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1
Torpedo Miass 0
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
Spartak Tambov 1
Ryazan 2
TBD -
S. Kostroma -
Irtysh Omsk 0
Dynamo Barnaul 5
TBD -
Chelyabinsk -
Quarter-finals
Saratov 1
Leningradets 2
Luki-Energiya 2
Ural 1
Krasnoye Znamya 0
SKA Khabarovsk 4
Kirov 1
Kamaz 0
Dynamo Stavropol 1
Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2
Shinnik Yaroslavl 2
Torpedo Moscow 0
Maykop 1
Yenisey 2
Kaluga 1
Ufa 0
FC Chertanovo Moscow 2
Neftekhimik 1
Tekstilshtik 1
Arsenal Tula 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 0
Ulyanovsk 1
FC Murom 1
Veles Moscow 0
Dynamo Petersburg 2
PFC Sochi 0
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2
R. Volgograd 0
Ryazan 0
S. Kostroma 2
Dynamo Barnaul 0
Chelyabinsk 2
Semi-finals
Leningradets -
Luki-Energiya -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Kirov -
Pari Nizhny Novgorod -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
Yenisey -
Kaluga -
FC Chertanovo Moscow -
Tekstilshtik -
Ulyanovsk -
FC Murom -
Dynamo Petersburg -
Volna Nizhegorodskaya -
S. Kostroma -
Chelyabinsk -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -