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Stadium Background

Tekstilshtik vs Ufa

Russia Russia

FNL Stadion Tekstilshchik, Ivanovo
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Ortiz D.
19' Event
Pershin N.
20'
Filev A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL game between Tekstilshtik and Ufa finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tekstilshtik
30%
Draws
39%
Ufa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ufa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Tekstilshtik and Ufa close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Win probability leans Ufa's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Tekstilshtik Clean Sheet 19%
Ufa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tekstilshtik Ufa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 FNL
Tekstilshtik vs Ufa
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tekstilshtik Compare

Top Goalscorer Pershin N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ufa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tekstilshtik 24 / 100
Ufa 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tekstilshtik Ufa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ufa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Tekstilshtik scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Ufa let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Tekstilshtik remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tekstilshtik VS Ufa
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tekstilshtik

(Home)
17 Sept
Tekstilshtik
0 : 2
R. Volgograd
13 Sept
Leningradets
2 : 2
Tekstilshtik
08 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 0
Arsenal Tula
04 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 4
Torpedo Moscow
29 Aug
Tekstilshtik
0 : 1
Veles Moscow
Page 1 of 6

Ufa

(Away)
18 Sept
Chelyabinsk
2 : 1
Ufa
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
09 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 0
Ufa
05 Sept
Ufa
1 : 1
Veles Moscow
28 Aug
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ufa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 S. Kostroma 11 7 3 1 15:8 24
3 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Veles Moscow 12 7 2 3 16:14 23
5 Ural 11 6 4 1 18:5 22
6 Torpedo Moscow 11 6 2 3 21:9 20
7 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
8 Ufa 11 4 5 2 16:13 17
9 Shinnik Yaroslavl 11 3 6 2 15:13 15
10 Yenisey 11 3 4 4 14:19 13
11 Arsenal Tula 12 3 4 5 12:22 13
12 Neftekhimik 12 4 0 8 7:15 12
13 Chelyabinsk 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
14 Ulyanovsk 11 3 2 6 14:17 11
15 Leningradets 11 2 4 5 9:20 10
16 Kamaz 12 2 3 7 11:19 9
17 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
18 SKA Khabarovsk 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)