Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Telavi vs Bolnisi

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Kavkasioni Arena, Telavi
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Kutalia D.
35' Event
Marakvelidze P.
Assist: Kutalia D.
46'
Sub
Kutalia D. In: Galakhvaridze N.
Out: Kutalia D.

AI Match Summary

Telavi in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Telavi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Telavi
35%
Draws
40%
Bolnisi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bolnisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Telavi have won more games recently than Bolnisi.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Bolnisi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Telavi Clean Sheet 19%
Bolnisi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Telavi Bolnisi
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Telavi
2:1
May 20, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Telavi vs Bolnisi
2:1
Apr 3, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Telavi
3:0
Oct 9, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Telavi vs Bolnisi
0:0
Jul 2, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Bolnisi vs Telavi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Telavi Compare

Top Goalscorer Marakvelidze P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nikabadze G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Bolnisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Dundua T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Telavi 28 / 100
Bolnisi 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Telavi Bolnisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bolnisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Telavi's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Bolnisi has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Telavi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Telavi VS Bolnisi
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Telavi

(Home)
12 Sept
Gori
2 : 2
Telavi
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
29 Aug
Bolnisi
2 : 1
Telavi
22 Aug
Telavi
1 : 0
Merani Martvili
15 Aug
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 1
Telavi
Page 1 of 6

Bolnisi

(Away)
12 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
29 Aug
Bolnisi
2 : 1
Telavi
22 Aug
Odishi 1919
0 : 1
Bolnisi
15 Aug
Bolnisi
0 : 1
Shturmi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 25 13 8 4 33:26 47
2 Telavi 25 11 8 6 27:23 41
3 Shturmi 25 10 9 6 27:22 39
4 Merani Martvili 25 9 7 9 28:28 34
5 Samtredia 25 10 4 11 43:39 34
6 Bolnisi 25 8 9 8 33:30 33
7 Dusheti 25 9 5 11 28:35 32
8 Odishi 1919 25 7 7 11 27:36 28
9 Gori 25 6 8 11 25:32 26
10 Kolkheti 1913 25 5 9 11 32:32 24
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)