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Telavi vs Bolnisi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Kavkasioni Arena, Telavi
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Telavi host Bolnisi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Telavi have averaged 1.17 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Bolnisi's 1.24 scored and 1.41 conceded. Past meetings favor Bolnisi slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.31) point toward Telavi. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Telavi
35%
Draws
16%
Bolnisi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Telavi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Telavi come out ahead of Bolnisi on wins alone.
  • Model gives Telavi a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Telavi Clean Sheet 18%
Bolnisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Telavi Bolnisi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Telavi
2:1
May 20, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Telavi vs Bolnisi
2:1
Apr 3, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Telavi
3:0
Oct 9, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Telavi vs Bolnisi
0:0
Jul 2, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Bolnisi vs Telavi
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Telavi 85 / 100
Bolnisi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Telavi Bolnisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Telavi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Telavi scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Bolnisi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Telavi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Telavi VS Bolnisi
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Telavi

(Home)
10 Oct
Dusheti
1 : 4
Telavi
20 Sept
Odishi 1919
1 : 1
Telavi
16 Sept
Telavi
1 : 1
Shturmi
12 Sept
Gori
2 : 2
Telavi
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
Page 1 of 6

Bolnisi

(Away)
10 Oct
Samtredia
3 : 0
Bolnisi
20 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 2
Dusheti
16 Sept
Merani Martvili
2 : 1
Bolnisi
12 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 28 14 8 6 35:29 50
2 Telavi 28 12 10 6 33:26 46
3 Shturmi 28 12 10 6 31:23 46
4 Samtredia 28 12 4 12 51:40 40
5 Merani Martvili 28 10 7 11 31:36 37
6 Odishi 1919 28 9 8 11 30:37 35
7 Dusheti 28 10 5 13 31:41 35
8 Bolnisi 28 8 9 11 35:37 33
9 Gori 28 7 9 12 29:36 30
10 Kolkheti 1913 28 6 10 12 34:35 28
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)