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Telavi vs Samtredia Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Kavkasioni Arena, Telavi
Telavi Logo

Telavi

2 - 0
FT
Samtredia Logo

Samtredia

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Nikabadze G.
31'
Tsulaia L.
46'
Sub
Gigashvili Z. In: Nosegbe-Susko D.
Out: Gigashvili Z.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Telavi in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Telavi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Telavi
30%
Draws
52%
Samtredia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Samtredia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Samtredia have won more games recently than Telavi.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Samtredia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Telavi Clean Sheet 10%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Telavi Samtredia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 10 4
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Telavi vs Samtredia
0:3
May 24, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Telavi
0:3
Apr 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Telavi vs Samtredia
2:0
Dec 2, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Telavi vs Samtredia
5:2
Sep 26, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samtredia vs Telavi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Telavi Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikabadze G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zhividze T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Samtredia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Telavi 10 / 100
Samtredia 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Telavi Samtredia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samtredia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Telavi's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Samtredia conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Telavi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Telavi VS Samtredia
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Telavi

(Home)
20 Sept
Odishi 1919
1 : 1
Telavi
16 Sept
Telavi
1 : 1
Shturmi
12 Sept
Gori
2 : 2
Telavi
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
29 Aug
Bolnisi
2 : 1
Telavi
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Samtredia

(Away)
26 Sept
Samtredia
1 : 2
FC Rustavi
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0
Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 0
Samtredia
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 27 14 8 5 35:28 50
2 Telavi 27 11 10 6 29:25 43
3 Shturmi 27 11 10 6 29:23 43
4 Merani Martvili 27 10 7 10 30:34 37
5 Samtredia 27 11 4 12 48:40 37
6 Dusheti 27 10 5 12 30:37 35
7 Bolnisi 27 8 9 10 35:34 33
8 Odishi 1919 27 8 8 11 29:37 32
9 Kolkheti 1913 27 6 10 11 34:33 28
10 Gori 27 6 9 12 27:35 27
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)