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Telford vs Bedford

England England

National League North New Bucks Head, Telford
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Moncur G.

AI Match Summary

The National League North game between Telford and Bedford finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bedford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Telford
30%
Draws
47%
Bedford
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bedford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Bedford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Telford Clean Sheet 18%
Bedford Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Telford Bedford
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.2 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 National League North
Telford vs Bedford
0:1
Mar 28, 2026 National League North
Telford vs Bedford
2:2
Aug 19, 2025 National League North
Bedford vs Telford
3:1
Jan 28, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Telford vs Bedford
6:2
Jan 11, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Bedford vs Telford
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Telford Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bedford Compare

Top Goalscorer Moncur G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Telford 36 / 100
Bedford 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Telford Bedford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bedford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Telford scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Bedford has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Telford stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Telford VS Bedford
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Telford

(Home)
26 Sept
Telford
0 : 5
King’s Lynn
22 Sept
Worksop
5 : 2
Telford
19 Sept
Telford
2 : 2
Worksop
12 Sept
Harborough
0 : 0
Telford
08 Sept
Telford
1 : 0
Oxford City
Page 1 of 6

Bedford

(Away)
26 Sept
Bedford
1 : 1
Hereford
19 Sept
Bedford
2 : 1
King’s Lynn
12 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 1
Bedford
08 Sept
Worksop
1 : 2
Bedford
05 Sept
Bedford
1 : 0
Radcliffe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 10 7 2 1 22:5 23
2 Macclesfield 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Oxford City 10 6 2 2 18:7 20
4 South Shields 9 6 2 1 13:10 20
5 Hebburn Town 10 5 3 2 16:16 18
6 Spalding United 10 5 2 3 14:8 17
7 Chester 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
8 King’s Lynn 10 5 1 4 20:15 16
9 Buxton 10 5 1 4 18:18 16
10 Bedford 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
11 Morecambe 10 4 2 4 14:9 14
12 Chorley 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Merthyr Town 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
14 Scarborough Athletic 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
15 Hednesford 10 3 3 4 17:17 12
16 Marine 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
17 Harborough 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
18 Worksop 10 4 0 6 10:16 12
19 Southport 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
20 Telford 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
21 Brackley 9 2 3 4 8:17 9
22 Darlington FC 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
23 Spennymoor 10 1 4 5 11:21 7
24 Radcliffe 10 2 0 8 9:20 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)