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Telford vs Darlington FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Telford host Darlington FC in the National League North. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Telford at 1.21 goals for, 1.68 against; Darlington FC at 1.32 for, 1.89 against. Past meetings favor Darlington FC slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.69) point toward Darlington FC. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Telford
30%
Draws
31%
Darlington FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Telford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Telford haven't matched Darlington FC's recent run of results.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Darlington FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Telford Clean Sheet 13%
Darlington FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Telford Darlington FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 2
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.21 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 National League North
Telford vs Darlington FC
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 FA Cup
Darlington FC vs Telford
0:6
Aug 25, 2025 National League North
Darlington FC vs Telford
2:2
Feb 4, 2023 National League North
Darlington FC vs Telford
3:1
Nov 1, 2022 National League North
Telford vs Darlington FC
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Telford 22 / 100
Darlington FC 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Telford Darlington FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Darlington FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Telford scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Darlington FC conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Telford stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Telford VS Darlington FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Telford

(Home)
26 Sept
Telford
0 : 5
King’s Lynn
22 Sept
Worksop
5 : 2
Telford
19 Sept
Telford
2 : 2
Worksop
12 Sept
Harborough
0 : 0
Telford
08 Sept
Telford
1 : 0
Oxford City
Page 1 of 6

Darlington FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Morecambe
3 : 0
Darlington FC
26 Sept
Darlington FC
1 : 1
Hebburn Town
19 Sept
Redcar Town
2 : 4
Darlington FC
12 Sept
Marine
2 : 1
Darlington FC
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2
Darlington FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 10 7 2 1 22:5 23
2 Macclesfield 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Oxford City 10 6 2 2 18:7 20
4 South Shields 10 6 2 2 15:13 20
5 Hebburn Town 10 5 3 2 16:16 18
6 Spalding United 10 5 2 3 14:8 17
7 Chester 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
8 King’s Lynn 10 5 1 4 20:15 16
9 Buxton 10 5 1 4 18:18 16
10 Bedford 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
11 Morecambe 10 4 2 4 14:9 14
12 Chorley 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Merthyr Town 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
14 Scarborough Athletic 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
15 Hednesford 10 3 3 4 17:17 12
16 Marine 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
17 Harborough 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
18 Worksop 10 4 0 6 10:16 12
19 Brackley 10 3 3 4 11:19 12
20 Southport 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
21 Telford 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
22 Darlington FC 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
23 Spennymoor 10 1 4 5 11:21 7
24 Radcliffe 10 2 0 8 9:20 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)